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Bridgewater Bancshares Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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BWB -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

Bridgewater Bancshares probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Bridgewater Bancshares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Bridgewater Bancshares time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bridgewater Bancshares odds to be computed. Continue to Bridgewater Bancshares Backtesting, Bridgewater Bancshares Valuation, Bridgewater Bancshares Correlation, Bridgewater Bancshares Hype Analysis, Bridgewater Bancshares Volatility, Bridgewater Bancshares History as well as Bridgewater Bancshares Performance.
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Bridgewater Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 13.80 30 days 13.80 
about 6.85
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Bridgewater Bancshares to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 6.85 (This Bridgewater Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Bridgewater Bancshares Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Bridgewater Bancshares has beta of 0.4732 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Bridgewater Bancshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Bridgewater Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0813 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0813% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Bridgewater Bancshares Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.08
β
Beta against DOW=0.47
σ
Overall volatility
=0.39
Ir
Information ratio =0.034736

Bridgewater Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions

Bridgewater Bancshares has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Purchase by Brezonik Lisa of 750 shares of Bridgewater Bancshares

Bridgewater BancsharesPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.31%
Short Percent Of Float1.65%
Float Shares21.94M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day53.23k
Shares Short Prior Month164.4k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month65.38k
Date Short InterestJanuary 15, 2020