Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.2

BW Stock  USD 1.23  0.05  4.24%   
Babcock Wilcox's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Babcock Wilcox Enterprises. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Babcock Wilcox based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Babcock Wilcox Enterprises over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $1.0 is a CALL option contract on Babcock Wilcox's common stock with a strick price of 1.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-25 at 15:25:31 for $0.36 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.35. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 101.28. View All Babcock options

Closest to current price Babcock long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Babcock Wilcox's future price is the expected price of Babcock Wilcox instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Babcock Wilcox Backtesting, Babcock Wilcox Valuation, Babcock Wilcox Correlation, Babcock Wilcox Hype Analysis, Babcock Wilcox Volatility, Babcock Wilcox History as well as Babcock Wilcox Performance.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to climb to -0.63 in 2024. Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.12 in 2024. Please specify Babcock Wilcox's target price for which you would like Babcock Wilcox odds to be computed.

Babcock Wilcox Target Price Odds to finish below 4.2

The tendency of Babcock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 4.20  after 90 days
 1.23 90 days 4.20 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Babcock Wilcox to stay under $ 4.20  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Babcock Wilcox Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Babcock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Babcock Wilcox Enter price to stay between its current price of $ 1.23  and $ 4.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.93 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 6.46 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Babcock Wilcox will likely underperform. Additionally Babcock Wilcox Enterprises has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Babcock Wilcox Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Babcock Wilcox

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babcock Wilcox Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Babcock Wilcox's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.2110.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.3012.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.199.99
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.879.7510.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Babcock Wilcox. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Babcock Wilcox's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Babcock Wilcox's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Babcock Wilcox Enter.

Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Babcock Wilcox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Babcock Wilcox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Babcock Wilcox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.74
β
Beta against NYSE Composite6.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.0067

Babcock Wilcox Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Babcock Wilcox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Babcock Wilcox Enter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Babcock Wilcox Enter had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Babcock Wilcox Enter may become a speculative penny stock
The company generated the yearly revenue of 999.35 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (78.87 M) with gross profit of 185.62 M.
Babcock Wilcox Enterprises reports about 76.7 M in cash with (42.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81.
Babcock Wilcox Enter has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Sell Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Inc in Specialty Industrial Machinery Industry - InvestorsObserver

Babcock Wilcox Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Babcock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Babcock Wilcox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babcock Wilcox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89 M
Cash And Short Term Investments71 M

Babcock Wilcox Technical Analysis

Babcock Wilcox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Babcock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Babcock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Babcock Wilcox Predictive Forecast Models

Babcock Wilcox's time-series forecasting models is one of many Babcock Wilcox's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Babcock Wilcox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Babcock Wilcox Enter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Babcock Wilcox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Babcock Wilcox Enter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Babcock Wilcox Enter had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Babcock Wilcox Enter may become a speculative penny stock
The company generated the yearly revenue of 999.35 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (78.87 M) with gross profit of 185.62 M.
Babcock Wilcox Enterprises reports about 76.7 M in cash with (42.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81.
Babcock Wilcox Enter has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Sell Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Inc in Specialty Industrial Machinery Industry - InvestorsObserver
When determining whether Babcock Wilcox Enter offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Babcock Wilcox's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Stock:

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When running Babcock Wilcox's price analysis, check to measure Babcock Wilcox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Babcock Wilcox is operating at the current time. Most of Babcock Wilcox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Babcock Wilcox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Babcock Wilcox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Babcock Wilcox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Babcock Wilcox's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Babcock Wilcox. If investors know Babcock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Babcock Wilcox listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
Earnings Share
(1.05)
Revenue Per Share
11.227
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Babcock Wilcox Enter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Babcock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Babcock Wilcox's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Babcock Wilcox's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Babcock Wilcox's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Babcock Wilcox's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Babcock Wilcox's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Babcock Wilcox is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Babcock Wilcox's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.