Brightview Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.83

BV Stock  USD 11.40  0.13  1.15%   
BrightView Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on BrightView Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of BrightView Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in BrightView Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on BrightView Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-25 at 15:15:52 for $1.5 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.4, and an ask price of $2.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 109.85. View All BrightView options

Closest to current price BrightView long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

BrightView Holdings' future price is the expected price of BrightView Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BrightView Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BrightView Holdings Backtesting, BrightView Holdings Valuation, BrightView Holdings Correlation, BrightView Holdings Hype Analysis, BrightView Holdings Volatility, BrightView Holdings History as well as BrightView Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy BrightView Stock please use our How to Invest in BrightView Holdings guide.
  
At this time, BrightView Holdings' Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 61.33 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.67 in 2024. Please specify BrightView Holdings' target price for which you would like BrightView Holdings odds to be computed.

BrightView Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 16.83

The tendency of BrightView Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 16.83  after 90 days
 11.40 90 days 16.83 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BrightView Holdings to stay under $ 16.83  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BrightView Holdings probability density function shows the probability of BrightView Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BrightView Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 11.40  and $ 16.83  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BrightView Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally BrightView Holdings has an alpha of 0.3362, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BrightView Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BrightView Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BrightView Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrightView Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4111.4513.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8310.8712.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.1811.2113.25
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.469.3010.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BrightView Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BrightView Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BrightView Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BrightView Holdings.

BrightView Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BrightView Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BrightView Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BrightView Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BrightView Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

BrightView Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BrightView Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BrightView Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.82 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (7.7 M) with gross profit of 678.9 M.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: BrightView Health Now Serving 5,000 Patients across the Bluegrass State

BrightView Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BrightView Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BrightView Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BrightView Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments67 M

BrightView Holdings Technical Analysis

BrightView Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BrightView Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BrightView Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing BrightView Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BrightView Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

BrightView Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many BrightView Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BrightView Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BrightView Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about BrightView Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BrightView Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.82 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (7.7 M) with gross profit of 678.9 M.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: BrightView Health Now Serving 5,000 Patients across the Bluegrass State
When determining whether BrightView Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze BrightView Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BrightView Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BrightView Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for BrightView Stock analysis

When running BrightView Holdings' price analysis, check to measure BrightView Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BrightView Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of BrightView Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BrightView Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BrightView Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BrightView Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BrightView Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BrightView Holdings. If investors know BrightView will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BrightView Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Earnings Share
(0.20)
Revenue Per Share
29.775
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0196
The market value of BrightView Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BrightView that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BrightView Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BrightView Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BrightView Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BrightView Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BrightView Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BrightView Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BrightView Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.