Bg Staffing Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.17

BGSF Stock  USD 10.41  0.11  1.07%   
BG Staffing's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on BG Staffing. Implied volatility approximates the future value of BG Staffing based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in BG Staffing over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on BG Staffing's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 14:55:13 for $0.36 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $1.35. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 46.72. View All BGSF options

Closest to current price BGSF long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

BG Staffing's future price is the expected price of BG Staffing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BG Staffing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BG Staffing Backtesting, BG Staffing Valuation, BG Staffing Correlation, BG Staffing Hype Analysis, BG Staffing Volatility, BG Staffing History as well as BG Staffing Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in BGSF Stock please use our How to Invest in BG Staffing guide.
  
At this time, BG Staffing's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The BG Staffing's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.24, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.05. Please specify BG Staffing's target price for which you would like BG Staffing odds to be computed.

BG Staffing Target Price Odds to finish over 21.17

The tendency of BGSF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.17  or more in 90 days
 10.41 90 days 21.17 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BG Staffing to move over $ 21.17  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This BG Staffing probability density function shows the probability of BGSF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BG Staffing price to stay between its current price of $ 10.41  and $ 21.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.84 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BG Staffing has a beta of 0.73 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BG Staffing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BG Staffing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BG Staffing has an alpha of 0.1171, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BG Staffing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BG Staffing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BG Staffing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BG Staffing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6310.4212.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2612.0513.84
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.7017.2519.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.04-0.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BG Staffing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BG Staffing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BG Staffing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BG Staffing.

BG Staffing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BG Staffing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BG Staffing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BG Staffing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BG Staffing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

BG Staffing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BG Staffing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BG Staffing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 313.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.55 M.
BG Staffing has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 27th of February 2024 BG Staffing paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Paul Seid of 500 shares of BG Staffing at 9.37 subject to Rule 16b-3

BG Staffing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BGSF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BG Staffing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BG Staffing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.8 M

BG Staffing Technical Analysis

BG Staffing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BGSF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BG Staffing. In general, you should focus on analyzing BGSF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BG Staffing Predictive Forecast Models

BG Staffing's time-series forecasting models is one of many BG Staffing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BG Staffing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BG Staffing

Checking the ongoing alerts about BG Staffing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BG Staffing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 313.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.55 M.
BG Staffing has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 27th of February 2024 BG Staffing paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Paul Seid of 500 shares of BG Staffing at 9.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether BG Staffing is a strong investment it is important to analyze BG Staffing's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BG Staffing's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BGSF Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out BG Staffing Backtesting, BG Staffing Valuation, BG Staffing Correlation, BG Staffing Hype Analysis, BG Staffing Volatility, BG Staffing History as well as BG Staffing Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in BGSF Stock please use our How to Invest in BG Staffing guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for BGSF Stock analysis

When running BG Staffing's price analysis, check to measure BG Staffing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BG Staffing is operating at the current time. Most of BG Staffing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BG Staffing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BG Staffing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BG Staffing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Is BG Staffing's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BG Staffing. If investors know BGSF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BG Staffing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
(0.95)
Revenue Per Share
29.089
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of BG Staffing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BGSF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BG Staffing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BG Staffing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BG Staffing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BG Staffing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BG Staffing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BG Staffing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BG Staffing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.