Banco Bradesco (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 620.0
| BBD Stock | ARS 2,793 23.50 0.83% |
Banco |
Banco Bradesco Target Price Odds to finish below 620.0
The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 620.00 or more in 90 days |
| 2,793 | 90 days | 620.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Bradesco to drop to 620.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Banco Bradesco DRC probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Bradesco DRC price to stay between 620.00 and its current price of 2793.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 suggesting Banco Bradesco DRC market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Banco Bradesco is expected to follow. Additionally Banco Bradesco DRC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Banco Bradesco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Banco Bradesco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Bradesco DRC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Bradesco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Banco Bradesco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Bradesco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Bradesco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Bradesco DRC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Bradesco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 452.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Banco Bradesco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Bradesco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Bradesco DRC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Banco Bradesco DRC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Banco Bradesco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Bradesco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Bradesco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.6 B |
Banco Bradesco Technical Analysis
Banco Bradesco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Bradesco DRC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Banco Bradesco Predictive Forecast Models
Banco Bradesco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Bradesco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Bradesco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Banco Bradesco DRC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Bradesco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Bradesco DRC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Banco Bradesco DRC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Check out Banco Bradesco Backtesting, Banco Bradesco Valuation, Banco Bradesco Correlation, Banco Bradesco Hype Analysis, Banco Bradesco Volatility, Banco Bradesco History as well as Banco Bradesco Performance. Note that the Banco Bradesco DRC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Banco Bradesco's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Banco Stock analysis
When running Banco Bradesco's price analysis, check to measure Banco Bradesco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Bradesco is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Bradesco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Bradesco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Bradesco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Bradesco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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