Aama Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.07

AMFEX Fund  USD 18.18  0.17  0.94%   
Aama Equity's future price is the expected price of Aama Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aama Equity Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aama Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aama Equity Correlation, Aama Equity Hype Analysis, Aama Equity Volatility, Aama Equity History as well as Aama Equity Performance.
  
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Aama Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 12.07

The tendency of Aama Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.07  in 90 days
 18.18 90 days 12.07 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aama Equity to stay above $ 12.07  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aama Equity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Aama Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aama Equity Fund price to stay between $ 12.07  and its current price of $18.18 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aama Equity Fund has a beta of -0.0477. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Aama Equity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Aama Equity Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aama Equity Fund has an alpha of 0.1275, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aama Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aama Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aama Equity Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aama Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.6018.1818.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3117.8918.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5518.1318.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9418.0818.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aama Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aama Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aama Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aama Equity Fund.

Aama Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aama Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aama Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aama Equity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aama Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.0048

Aama Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aama Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aama Equity Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 6.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Aama Equity Technical Analysis

Aama Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aama Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aama Equity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aama Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aama Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Aama Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aama Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aama Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aama Equity Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aama Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aama Equity Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 6.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Check out Aama Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aama Equity Correlation, Aama Equity Hype Analysis, Aama Equity Volatility, Aama Equity History as well as Aama Equity Performance.
Note that the Aama Equity Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aama Equity's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for Aama Mutual Fund analysis

When running Aama Equity's price analysis, check to measure Aama Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aama Equity is operating at the current time. Most of Aama Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aama Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aama Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aama Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Aama Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aama Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aama Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.