Aama Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.17
AMFEX Fund | USD 18.21 0.03 0.17% |
Aama |
Aama Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 10.17
The tendency of Aama Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.17 or more in 90 days |
18.21 | 90 days | 10.17 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aama Equity to drop to $ 10.17 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aama Equity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Aama Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aama Equity Fund price to stay between $ 10.17 and its current price of $18.21 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aama Equity has a beta of 0.86. This suggests Aama Equity Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aama Equity is expected to follow. Additionally Aama Equity Fund has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aama Equity Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Aama Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aama Equity Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aama Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aama Equity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aama Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aama Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aama Equity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aama Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Aama Equity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aama Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aama Equity Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The fund holds about 6.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Aama Equity Technical Analysis
Aama Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aama Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aama Equity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aama Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aama Equity Predictive Forecast Models
Aama Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aama Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aama Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aama Equity Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aama Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aama Equity Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 6.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Check out Aama Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aama Equity Correlation, Aama Equity Hype Analysis, Aama Equity Volatility, Aama Equity History as well as Aama Equity Performance. Note that the Aama Equity Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aama Equity's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Aama Mutual Fund analysis
When running Aama Equity's price analysis, check to measure Aama Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aama Equity is operating at the current time. Most of Aama Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aama Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aama Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aama Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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