Equity Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 31.92

AMEIX Fund  USD 30.26  0.22  0.73%   
Equity Growth's future price is the expected price of Equity Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equity Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Equity Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Equity Growth Correlation, Equity Growth Hype Analysis, Equity Growth Volatility, Equity Growth History as well as Equity Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Equity Growth's target price for which you would like Equity Growth odds to be computed.

Equity Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 31.92

The tendency of Equity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 31.92  or more in 90 days
 30.26 90 days 31.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity Growth to move over $ 31.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Equity Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Equity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equity Growth Fund price to stay between its current price of $ 30.26  and $ 31.92  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Equity Growth Fund has a beta of -0.0576. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Equity Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Equity Growth Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Equity Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.1736, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Equity Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Equity Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Growth Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5723.2823.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9525.6126.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.5530.2630.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.9729.7130.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Equity Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Equity Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Equity Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Equity Growth Fund.

Equity Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Equity Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity Growth Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.25% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Equity Growth Technical Analysis

Equity Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Equity Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Equity Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equity Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Equity Growth Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity Growth Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.25% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Equity Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Equity Growth Correlation, Equity Growth Hype Analysis, Equity Growth Volatility, Equity Growth History as well as Equity Growth Performance.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Equity Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Equity Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equity Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.