Verizon Communications Stock Price Prediction

VZ Stock  USD 41.96  0.42  1.01%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Verizon Communications' share price is approaching 45. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Verizon Communications, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Verizon Communications stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Verizon Communications shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Verizon Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Verizon Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Verizon Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Verizon Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Verizon Communications' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.59
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.7
Wall Street Target Price
44.48
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Verizon Communications based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Verizon stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Verizon Communications over a specific investment horizon. Using Verizon Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verizon Communications from the perspective of Verizon Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verizon Communications using Verizon Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verizon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verizon Communications' stock price.

Verizon Communications Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Verizon Communications' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Verizon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Verizon Communications stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Verizon Communications may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verizon Communications and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verizon Communications with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
36.3827
Short Percent
0.0123
Short Ratio
2.87
Shares Short Prior Month
50.3 M
50 Day MA
40.4936

Verizon Communications Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Verizon Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Verizon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verizon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verizon Communications. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Verizon Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Verizon Communications.

Verizon Communications Implied Volatility

    
  25.98  
Verizon Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verizon Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verizon Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verizon Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verizon Communications' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Verizon Communications. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Verizon Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Verizon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Verizon Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Verizon contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Verizon Communications will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.62% per day over the life of the 2024-03-28 option contract. With Verizon Communications trading at USD 41.96, that is roughly USD 0.68 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Verizon Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Verizon Communications options at the current volatility level of 25.98%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Verizon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Verizon Stock please use our How to Invest in Verizon Communications guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verizon Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.5338.9745.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.8841.3242.76
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.9137.2641.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.071.121.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Verizon Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Verizon Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Verizon Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Verizon Communications.

Verizon Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Verizon Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verizon Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verizon Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Verizon Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Verizon Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verizon Communications' historical news coverage. Verizon Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.18 and 43.06, respectively. We have considered Verizon Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
41.96
41.62
After-hype Price
43.06
Upside
Verizon Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verizon Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Verizon Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verizon Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verizon Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verizon Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
1.44
  0.08 
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.96
41.62
0.19 
342.86  
Notes

Verizon Communications Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Verizon Communications is listed for 41.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Verizon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 41.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Verizon Communications is about 2618.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.97. The company generated the yearly revenue of 133.97 B. Reported Net Income was 11.61 B with gross profit of 77.7 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Verizon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Verizon Stock please use our How to Invest in Verizon Communications guide.

Verizon Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Verizon Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verizon Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Verizon Communications rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verizon Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HCMHUTCHMED DRC(0.67)9 per month 3.80 (0.01) 8.15 (6.61) 23.25 
ABEVAmbev SA ADR(0.02)5 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.92 (2.26) 10.14 
VINEFresh Grapes LLC(0.02)6 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.58 (6.25) 18.08 
JAPAYJapan Tobacco ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.89 (0.12) 1.47 (1.32) 4.76 
NEOGNeogen(0.25)6 per month 0.00 (0.23) 3.24 (3.98) 12.59 
SAMBoston Beer 1.52 12 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.93 (2.33) 19.52 
CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas(0.12)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.62 (2.18) 6.76 
GCTKGlucoTrack 0.00 4 per month 2.97  0.07  7.69 (4.55) 21.98 

Verizon Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Verizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Verizon Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Verizon Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Verizon Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Verizon Communications based on analysis of Verizon Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Verizon Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Verizon Communications's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio9.777.7913.6721.16
Short Term Coverage Ratios3.52.632.173.22

Story Coverage note for Verizon Communications

The number of cover stories for Verizon Communications depends on current market conditions and Verizon Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verizon Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verizon Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Verizon Communications Short Properties

Verizon Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Verizon Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verizon Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verizon Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verizon Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
When determining whether Verizon Communications offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Verizon Communications' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Verizon Communications Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Verizon Communications Stock:
Check out Verizon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Verizon Stock please use our How to Invest in Verizon Communications guide.
Note that the Verizon Communications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Verizon Communications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Verizon Communications' price analysis, check to measure Verizon Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verizon Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Verizon Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verizon Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verizon Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verizon Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Verizon Communications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verizon Communications. If investors know Verizon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verizon Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
2.635
Earnings Share
2.75
Revenue Per Share
31.815
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Verizon Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verizon Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verizon Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verizon Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verizon Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verizon Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verizon Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verizon Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.