Xunlei Ltd Adr Stock Price Prediction
| XNET Stock | USD 1.47 0.01 0.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Xunlei Ltd Adr stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Xunlei shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Xunlei's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Xunlei and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Xunlei's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xunlei Ltd Adr, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xunlei's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.302 | Wall Street Target Price 12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Xunlei based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Xunlei stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Xunlei over a specific investment horizon. Using Xunlei hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xunlei Ltd Adr from the perspective of Xunlei response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xunlei using Xunlei's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xunlei using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xunlei's stock price.
Xunlei Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Xunlei's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xunlei Ltd Adr stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xunlei's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xunlei stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xunlei's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Xunlei. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xunlei to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xunlei because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xunlei after-hype prediction price | USD 1.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xunlei |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xunlei's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xunlei After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xunlei at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xunlei or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xunlei, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xunlei Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xunlei's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xunlei's historical news coverage. Xunlei's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 3.07, respectively. We have considered Xunlei's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xunlei is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xunlei Ltd Adr is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xunlei Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xunlei is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xunlei backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xunlei, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.47 | 1.47 | 0.00 |
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Xunlei Hype Timeline
Xunlei Ltd Adr is at this time traded for 1.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Xunlei is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xunlei is about 750.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.48. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Xunlei Ltd Adr had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:15 split on the August 1, 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Xunlei Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xunlei Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xunlei's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xunlei's future price movements. Getting to know how Xunlei's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xunlei may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TZOO | Travelzoo | 0.23 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.94 | (6.20) | 13.66 | |
| EEX | Emerald Expositions Events | 0.42 | 7 per month | 3.49 | 0.02 | 4.68 | (2.38) | 22.09 | |
| ZD | Ziff Davis | (0.95) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.13 | (3.84) | 10.94 | |
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | 2.29 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 17.66 | (11.98) | 62.91 | |
| GSMGW | Glory Star New | 0 | 3 per month | 15.03 | 0.13 | 43.10 | (28.89) | 218.56 | |
| IFUS | Impact Fusion International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.38 | (5.79) | 25.00 | |
| BAOS | Baosheng Media Group | 0.1 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 6.41 | (6.76) | 35.15 | |
| MGOL | MGO Global Common | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 7.89 | (10.71) | 43.57 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.25 | (5.19) | 22.66 | |
| TSQ | Townsquare Media | 0.07 | 7 per month | 2.27 | 0.10 | 4.46 | (3.23) | 12.71 |
Xunlei Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xunlei price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xunlei using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xunlei charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xunlei Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xunlei stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xunlei Ltd Adr, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xunlei based on analysis of Xunlei hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xunlei's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xunlei's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.31 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.56 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.28 |
Story Coverage note for Xunlei
The number of cover stories for Xunlei depends on current market conditions and Xunlei's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xunlei is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xunlei's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Xunlei Short Properties
Xunlei's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xunlei's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xunlei Ltd Adr often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xunlei's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xunlei's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 271.9 M |
Check out Xunlei Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Xunlei Ltd Adr information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xunlei's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Xunlei Stock analysis
When running Xunlei's price analysis, check to measure Xunlei's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xunlei is operating at the current time. Most of Xunlei's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xunlei's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xunlei's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xunlei to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xunlei's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xunlei. If investors know Xunlei will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xunlei listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.302 | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 5.572 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Xunlei Ltd Adr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xunlei that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xunlei's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xunlei's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xunlei's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xunlei's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xunlei's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xunlei is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xunlei's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.