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Walmart Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#8A0CCF;color: white;font-size:3em;padding-top: 40px;;'>WMT</div>
WMT -- USA Stock  

Earnings Report: May 21, 2020  

Walmart Dividends per Basic Common Share is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the last year. Walmart reported Dividends per Basic Common Share of 1.76 in 2019. EBITDA Margin is likely to grow to 6.91 in 2020, whereas PPandE Turnover is likely to drop 4.12 in 2020. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Walmart which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Walmart hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Walmart from the prospective of Walmart response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Walmart over a specific investment horizon. Check out Walmart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Walmart After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Walmart Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
117.68
February 19, 2020
115.47
Downside
117.66
After-hype Price
119.85
Upside
Walmart is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Walmart is based on 3 months time horizon.

Walmart Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03  0.73  0.02   0.01  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
117.68117.660.02 
108.96  

Walmart Hype Timeline

On the 19th of February Walmart is traded for 117.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Walmart is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 117.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 108.96%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Walmart is about 231.01% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 117.67. About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Walmart was at this time reported as 19.2. The company last dividend was issued on 2019-12-05. Walmart had 2:1 split on 1999-04-20. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Walmart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Walmart Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.24) 10 per month 1.56  0.0343  3.94 (2.69)  8.16 
Barnes Noble 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26)  1.05 (1.05)  3.16 
Rite Aid Corporation(0.80) 10 per month 4.71  0.1  11.54 (6.14)  63.54 
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc Na(0.22) 8 per month 0.00 (0.22)  3.10 (3.44)  19.50 
Sprouts Farmers Market(0.09) 8 per month 0.00 (0.24)  2.08 (3.03)  7.35 
Spectrum Brands Holdings(1.15) 9 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.47 (2.07)  4.97 
SuperValu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  0.50 (0.87)  66.11 
Sysco Corporation(0.95) 9 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.20 (1.61)  8.64 
Target Corporation(0.39) 7 per month 1.50 (0.0039)  1.92 (1.67)  20.65 
Walgreens Boots Alliance 0.68 9 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.22 (2.06)  7.16 

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Latest Prospective on Walmart

Check out Walmart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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