Woolworths Holdings Ltd Stock Price Prediction

WLWHY Stock  USD 3.00  0.01  0.33%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Woolworths Holdings' share price is approaching 44. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Woolworths Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Woolworths Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Woolworths Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Woolworths Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Woolworths Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Woolworths Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Woolworths Holdings Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Woolworths Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Woolworths stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Woolworths Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Woolworths Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Woolworths Holdings Ltd from the perspective of Woolworths Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Woolworths Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Woolworths Holdings to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Woolworths because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Woolworths Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Woolworths Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Woolworths Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.726.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.176.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.923.183.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Woolworths Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Woolworths Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Woolworths Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Woolworths Holdings.

Woolworths Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Woolworths Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Woolworths Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Woolworths Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Woolworths Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Woolworths Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Woolworths Holdings' historical news coverage. Woolworths Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 6.73, respectively. We have considered Woolworths Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.00
3.19
After-hype Price
6.73
Upside
Woolworths Holdings is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Woolworths Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Woolworths Holdings Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Woolworths Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Woolworths Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Woolworths Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
3.54
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.00
3.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Woolworths Holdings Hype Timeline

Woolworths Holdings is at this time traded for 3.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Woolworths is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Woolworths Holdings is about 5057.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.99. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2022. Woolworths Holdings had 10:1 split on the 10th of September 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Woolworths Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Woolworths Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Woolworths Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Woolworths Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Woolworths Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Woolworths Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Woolworths Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Woolworths price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Woolworths using various technical indicators. When you analyze Woolworths charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Woolworths Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Woolworths Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Woolworths Holdings Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Woolworths Holdings based on analysis of Woolworths Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Woolworths Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Woolworths Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Woolworths Holdings

The number of cover stories for Woolworths Holdings depends on current market conditions and Woolworths Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Woolworths Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Woolworths Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Woolworths Holdings Short Properties

Woolworths Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Woolworths Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Woolworths Holdings Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Woolworths Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Woolworths Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding956.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.4 B
Check out Woolworths Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Woolworths Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Woolworths Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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When running Woolworths Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Woolworths Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Woolworths Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Woolworths Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Woolworths Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Woolworths Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Woolworths Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Woolworths Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Woolworths Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Woolworths Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.