Wilshire 5000 Index Fund Price Prediction
| WFIVX Fund | USD 28.65 0.17 0.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Wilshire 5000 Index fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wilshire 5000 shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wilshire 5000's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wilshire 5000 and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wilshire 5000's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wilshire 5000 Index, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether fund price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wilshire 5000 based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wilshire price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wilshire 5000 over a specific investment horizon. Using Wilshire 5000 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wilshire 5000 Index from the perspective of Wilshire 5000 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wilshire 5000. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wilshire 5000 to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wilshire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Wilshire 5000 after-hype prediction price | USD 28.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Wilshire |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wilshire 5000's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wilshire 5000 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wilshire 5000 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wilshire 5000 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Wilshire 5000, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wilshire 5000 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wilshire 5000's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wilshire 5000's historical news coverage. Wilshire 5000's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.87 and 29.39, respectively. We have considered Wilshire 5000's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wilshire 5000 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wilshire 5000 Index is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wilshire 5000 Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Wilshire 5000 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wilshire 5000 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wilshire 5000, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.76 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.65 | 28.63 | 0.07 |
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Wilshire 5000 Hype Timeline
Wilshire 5000 Index is at this time traded for 28.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Wilshire is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Wilshire 5000 is about 48.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.52. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Wilshire 5000 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Wilshire 5000 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wilshire 5000's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wilshire 5000's future price movements. Getting to know how Wilshire 5000's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wilshire 5000 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTSMX | Vanguard Total Stock | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.65 | 0.02 | 1.22 | (1.26) | 3.48 | |
| VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index | (2.76) | 11 per month | 0.60 | 0.03 | 1.20 | (1.22) | 3.56 |
Wilshire 5000 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wilshire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wilshire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wilshire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Wilshire 5000 Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Wilshire 5000 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wilshire 5000 Index, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wilshire 5000 based on analysis of Wilshire 5000 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wilshire 5000's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wilshire 5000's related companies. Story Coverage note for Wilshire 5000
The number of cover stories for Wilshire 5000 depends on current market conditions and Wilshire 5000's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wilshire 5000 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wilshire 5000's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wilshire 5000 Short Properties
Wilshire 5000's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wilshire 5000's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wilshire 5000 Index often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wilshire 5000's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilshire 5000's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Check out Wilshire 5000 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.