Wells Fargo Stock Volatility

WFC Stock  USD 57.61  0.93  1.64%   
Wells Fargo appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Wells Fargo shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.19, which attests that the company had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wells Fargo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize Wells Fargo's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.233, mean deviation of 0.9828, and Downside Deviation of 1.15 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Wells Fargo's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
180 Days Economic Sensitivity
Wells Fargo Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Wells daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Wells's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Wells Fargo volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Wells Fargo's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Wells Fargo's managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Wells Fargo can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Wells Fargo at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Wells stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Wells Fargo's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Wells Stock

  0.86C Citigroup Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.79CM Canadian Imperial Bank Financial Report 23rd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.9NU Nu Holdings Financial Report 20th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.9MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Financial Report 20th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.81BML-PG Bank Of AmericaPairCorr
  0.89BML-PH Bank Of AmericaPairCorr
  0.87BML-PJ Bank Of AmericaPairCorr

Wells Fargo Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Wells Fargo's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Wells stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Wells stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Wells Fargo's beta of 1.09 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Wells Fargo stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Wells Fargo has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.63 and kurtosis of 8.31. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Wells Fargo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Wells Fargo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Wells Fargo Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Wells Fargo correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Wells Beta

    
  1.09  
Wells standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.47  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Wells Fargo's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Wells Fargo's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in wells stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Wells Fargo.

Using Wells Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Wells Fargo grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Wells Fargo at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Wells Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Wells Fargo's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Wells Fargo will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Wells Fargo's PUT expiring on 2024-03-28

   Profit   
       Wells Fargo Price At Expiration  

Current Wells Fargo Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $53.0-0.0130.01536952024-03-280.0 - 0.020.01View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $54.0-0.01580.022722742024-03-280.0 - 0.010.01View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $55.0-0.02050.037514762024-03-280.0 - 0.010.01View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $56.0-0.02950.077134332024-03-280.01 - 0.020.01View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $57.0-0.17780.387217572024-03-280.05 - 0.080.09View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $58.0-0.72420.521726192024-03-280.47 - 0.520.59View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $59.0-0.79620.174212024-03-281.16 - 1.570.79View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $60.0-0.76350.0983362024-03-280.98 - 2.812.45View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $63.0-0.96520.0276122024-03-284.4 - 6.455.5View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $65.0-0.84680.036762024-03-286.4 - 9.357.25View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $68.0-0.80410.027342024-03-288.45 - 11.411.1View
View All Wells Fargo Options

Wells Fargo Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Wells Fargo stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Wells Fargo's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Wells Fargo's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Wells Fargo's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Wells Fargo's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Wells Fargo's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Wells Fargo's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Wells Fargo's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Wells Fargo Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Wells Fargo Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.085 . This entails Wells Fargo market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wells Fargo is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Wells Fargo or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Wells Fargo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Wells stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Wells Fargo has an alpha of 0.1072, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Wells Fargo's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how wells stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Wells Fargo Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Wells Fargo Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Wells Fargo is 524.69. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.16 and standard deviation of 1.47. The mean deviation of Wells Fargo is currently at 1.01. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Wells Fargo Stock Return Volatility

Wells Fargo historical daily return volatility represents how much of Wells Fargo stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 1.4702% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5731% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Wells Fargo Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Wells Fargo or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Wells Fargo may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Wells's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Wells Fargo and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Wells Fargo fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Selling And Marketing Expenses812 M771.4 M
Wells Fargo's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Wells Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Wells Fargo's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Wells Fargo's volatility to invest better

Higher Wells Fargo's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Wells Fargo stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Wells Fargo stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Wells Fargo investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Wells Fargo's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Wells Fargo's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Wells Fargo Investment Opportunity

Wells Fargo has a volatility of 1.47 and is 2.58 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 12 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Wells Fargo. You can use Wells Fargo to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Wells Fargo to be traded at $63.37 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between Wells Fargo and NYA is 0.42 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Wells Fargo and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Wells Fargo Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wells Fargo's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wells Fargo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Wells Fargo stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Wells Fargo Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Wells Fargo as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Wells Fargo's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Wells Fargo's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Wells Fargo.
When determining whether Wells Fargo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Wells Fargo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wells Fargo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wells Fargo Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Wells Fargo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.
Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for Wells Stock analysis

When running Wells Fargo's price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
Dividend Share
1.3
Earnings Share
4.83
Revenue Per Share
20.931
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.