Wells Fargo Stock Price Prediction
WFC Stock | USD 60.60 0.34 0.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Wells Fargo stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wells Fargo shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wells Fargo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wells Fargo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wells Fargo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wells Fargo, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Wells Fargo's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.72 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.15 | Wall Street Target Price 58.42 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wells Fargo based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wells stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wells Fargo over a specific investment horizon. Using Wells Fargo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wells Fargo from the perspective of Wells Fargo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wells Fargo using Wells Fargo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wells using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wells Fargo's stock price.
Wells Fargo Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Wells Fargo's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Wells. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Wells Fargo stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Wells Fargo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Wells Fargo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Wells Fargo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 47.2045 | Short Percent 0.0112 | Short Ratio 2.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 35.2 M | 50 Day MA 56.1194 |
Wells Fargo Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Wells Fargo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wells. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wells can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wells Fargo. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Wells Fargo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Wells Fargo.
Wells Fargo Implied Volatility | 32.87 |
Wells Fargo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wells Fargo stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wells Fargo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wells Fargo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wells Fargo's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wells Fargo. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wells Fargo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wells because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Wells Fargo after-hype prediction price | USD 60.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wells contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wells Fargo will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.05% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Wells Fargo trading at USD 60.6, that is roughly USD 1.24 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wells Fargo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wells Fargo options at the current volatility level of 32.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Wells |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wells Fargo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wells Fargo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wells Fargo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wells Fargo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Wells Fargo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wells Fargo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wells Fargo's historical news coverage. Wells Fargo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.27 and 62.03, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wells Fargo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wells Fargo is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wells Fargo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wells Fargo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wells Fargo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wells Fargo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.39 | 0.05 | 0.31 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
60.60 | 60.65 | 0.08 |
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Wells Fargo Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Wells Fargo is traded for 60.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Wells is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 60.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Wells Fargo is about 145.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 82.6 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 19.03 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 72.25 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Wells Fargo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wells Fargo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wells Fargo's future price movements. Getting to know how Wells Fargo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wells Fargo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
BAC | Bank of America | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.14 | 2.33 | (2.26) | 7.07 | |
JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (5.53) | 6 per month | 1.26 | 0.08 | 1.94 | (1.14) | 8.65 | |
TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | (1.46) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.47 | (1.66) | 4.49 | |
NU | Nu Holdings | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.09 | 4.34 | (2.73) | 9.96 | |
C | Citigroup | (1.16) | 9 per month | 0.95 | 0.16 | 2.57 | (1.88) | 8.13 | |
RY | Royal Bank of | (0.93) | 8 per month | 1.06 | (0.08) | 1.35 | (1.68) | 4.01 | |
CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.94 | (0) | 1.42 | (1.49) | 4.78 | |
BMO | Bank of Montreal | (1.14) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.52 | (1.89) | 5.93 | |
BNS | Bank of Nova | (0.64) | 13 per month | 1.17 | (0.03) | 1.51 | (1.59) | 5.82 | |
BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.19 | 2.33 | (2.40) | 14.41 | |
UBS | UBS Group AG | (0.67) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.98 | (2.17) | 7.87 | |
ING | ING Group NV | 0.14 | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.13 | 2.24 | (1.44) | 7.82 |
Wells Fargo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wells price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wells using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wells charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Wells Fargo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Wells Fargo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wells Fargo, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wells Fargo based on analysis of Wells Fargo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wells Fargo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wells Fargo's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0186 | 0.0337 | 0.0327 | 0.0235 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.48 | 2.13 | 2.2 | 2.18 |
Story Coverage note for Wells Fargo
The number of cover stories for Wells Fargo depends on current market conditions and Wells Fargo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wells Fargo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wells Fargo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wells Fargo Short Properties
Wells Fargo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wells Fargo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wells Fargo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wells Fargo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wells Fargo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.5 B |
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Wells Stock analysis
When running Wells Fargo's price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 1.35 | Earnings Share 4.8 | Revenue Per Share 21.366 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 |
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.