Wex Inc Stock Price Prediction

WEX Stock  USD 237.53  3.65  1.56%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Wex's share price is above 70 at this time. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Wex, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

77

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Wex Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wex shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wex's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wex and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wex's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wex Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Wex's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.78
EPS Estimate Current Year
16.18
EPS Estimate Next Year
18.48
Wall Street Target Price
242.42
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wex based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wex stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wex over a specific investment horizon. Using Wex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wex Inc from the perspective of Wex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wex using Wex's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wex's stock price.

Wex Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Wex's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Wex. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Wex stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Wex may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Wex and may potentially protect profits, hedge Wex with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
195.0473
Short Percent
0.0194
Short Ratio
2.84
Shares Short Prior Month
646.8 K
50 Day MA
219.1124

Wex Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Wex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wex Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Wex's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Wex.

Wex Implied Volatility

    
  21.91  
Wex's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wex Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wex's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wex stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wex's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wex. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wex to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wex after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 237.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wex contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wex Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.37% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Wex trading at USD 237.53, that is roughly USD 3.25 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wex's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wex Inc options at the current volatility level of 21.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Wex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
213.78267.56268.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
234.91236.08237.26
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
209.37230.08255.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.403.463.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wex. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wex's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wex's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wex Inc.

Wex After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wex's historical news coverage. Wex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 236.35 and 238.71, respectively. We have considered Wex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
237.53
236.35
Downside
237.53
After-hype Price
238.71
Upside
Wex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wex Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wex Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.19
  0.59 
  0.07 
11 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
237.53
237.53
0.00 
66.11  
Notes

Wex Hype Timeline

On the 29th of March Wex Inc is traded for 237.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Wex is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 66.11%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wex is about 540.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 237.60. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.52. Wex Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.15. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 11:10 split on the December 17, 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Wex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wex Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wex's future price movements. Getting to know how Wex rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Wex Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wex Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wex stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wex Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wex based on analysis of Wex hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wex's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wex's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Book Value Ratio3.414.44.574.55
Operating Cycle982.57932.7511.32936.2

Story Coverage note for Wex

The number of cover stories for Wex depends on current market conditions and Wex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Wex Short Properties

Wex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wex Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.3 B
When determining whether Wex Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Wex's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wex Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wex Inc Stock:
Check out Wex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Wex Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wex's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Wex Stock analysis

When running Wex's price analysis, check to measure Wex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wex is operating at the current time. Most of Wex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wex's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wex. If investors know Wex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wex listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Earnings Share
6.15
Revenue Per Share
59.533
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.072
Return On Assets
0.0321
The market value of Wex Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wex's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wex's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wex's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wex's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.