Washington Federal Stock Price Prediction
| WAFD Stock | USD 28.39 0.20 0.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Washington Federal stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Washington Federal shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Washington Federal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Washington Federal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Washington Federal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Washington Federal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Washington Federal's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.22 | Wall Street Target Price 32.75 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Washington Federal based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Washington stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Washington Federal over a specific investment horizon. Using Washington Federal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Washington Federal from the perspective of Washington Federal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Washington Federal using Washington Federal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Washington using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Washington Federal's stock price.
Washington Federal Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Washington Federal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Washington Federal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Washington Federal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Washington Federal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Washington Federal's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Washington Federal. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Washington Federal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Washington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Washington Federal after-hype prediction price | USD 28.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Washington |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Washington Federal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Washington Federal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Washington Federal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Washington Federal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Washington Federal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Washington Federal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Washington Federal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Washington Federal's historical news coverage. Washington Federal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.46 and 30.72, respectively. We have considered Washington Federal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Washington Federal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Washington Federal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Washington Federal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Washington Federal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Washington Federal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Washington Federal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.39 | 28.59 | 0.00 |
|
Washington Federal Hype Timeline
Washington Federal is at this time traded for 28.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Washington is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Washington Federal is about 980.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.38. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Washington Federal has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of February 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 2nd of February 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Washington Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Washington Federal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Washington Federal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Washington Federal's future price movements. Getting to know how Washington Federal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Washington Federal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Washington Federal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Washington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Washington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Washington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Washington Federal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Washington Federal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Washington Federal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Washington Federal based on analysis of Washington Federal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Washington Federal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Washington Federal's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0389 | 0.0469 | 0.054 | 0.0341 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.96 | 2.25 | 2.59 | 2.46 |
Story Coverage note for Washington Federal
The number of cover stories for Washington Federal depends on current market conditions and Washington Federal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Washington Federal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Washington Federal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Washington Federal Short Properties
Washington Federal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Washington Federal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Washington Federal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Washington Federal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Washington Federal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
Check out Washington Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Washington Stock refer to our How to Trade Washington Stock guide.Note that the Washington Federal information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Washington Federal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Washington Stock analysis
When running Washington Federal's price analysis, check to measure Washington Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Washington Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Washington Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Washington Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Washington Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Washington Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories |
Is Washington Federal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Washington Federal. If investors know Washington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Washington Federal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Dividend Share 1.02 | Earnings Share 3.41 | Revenue Per Share 9.797 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of Washington Federal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Washington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Washington Federal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Washington Federal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Washington Federal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Washington Federal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Washington Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Washington Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Washington Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.