Verint Systems Stock Price Prediction
VRNT Stock | USD 33.15 2.06 6.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Verint Systems stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Verint Systems shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Verint Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Verint Systems and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Verint Systems' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Verint Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Verint Systems' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.14 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.84 | Wall Street Target Price 34 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.97 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Verint Systems based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Verint stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Verint Systems over a specific investment horizon. Using Verint Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verint Systems from the perspective of Verint Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verint Systems using Verint Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verint using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verint Systems' stock price.
Verint Systems Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Verint Systems' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Verint. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Verint Systems stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Verint Systems may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verint Systems and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verint Systems with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 28.9041 | Short Percent 0.0272 | Short Ratio 3.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 30.7214 |
Verint Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Verint Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Verint. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verint can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verint Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Verint Systems' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Verint Systems.
Verint Systems Implied Volatility | 45.3 |
Verint Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verint Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verint Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verint Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verint Systems' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Verint Systems. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Verint Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Verint because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Verint Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 33.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Verint |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verint Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Verint Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Verint Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verint Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verint Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Verint Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Verint Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verint Systems' historical news coverage. Verint Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.95 and 35.35, respectively. We have considered Verint Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Verint Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verint Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Verint Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verint Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verint Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verint Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.15 | 33.15 | 0.00 |
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Verint Systems Hype Timeline
Verint Systems is at this time traded for 33.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Verint is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Verint Systems is about 4037.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.17. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Verint Systems was at this time reported as 13.23. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. Verint Systems had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1963:1000 split on the 2nd of February 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Verint Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Verint Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Verint Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verint Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Verint Systems rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verint Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
S | SentinelOne | 0.39 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.84 | (5.83) | 23.63 | |
BB | BlackBerry | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.96 | (6.79) | 22.42 | |
GB | Global Blue Group | (0.39) | 7 per month | 2.29 | 0.02 | 5.62 | (3.85) | 15.83 | |
JG | Aurora Mobile | 0.14 | 9 per month | 6.35 | 0.1 | 11.19 | (9.45) | 50.48 | |
MQ | Marqeta | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.26 | (5.74) | 18.35 | |
NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | (1.20) | 9 per month | 5.19 | 0.10 | 10.67 | (8.86) | 59.64 | |
SQ | Block Inc | (0.42) | 10 per month | 3.29 | 0.02 | 4.91 | (5.48) | 21.53 | |
ZS | Zscaler | 1.80 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.13 | (4.36) | 18.41 | |
DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings | 0.46 | 11 per month | 2.93 | (0.01) | 4.36 | (4.17) | 15.48 | |
VERI | Veritone | (0.15) | 10 per month | 6.49 | 0.17 | 25.81 | (11.08) | 53.21 |
Verint Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Verint Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Verint Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Verint Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Verint Systems based on analysis of Verint Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Verint Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Verint Systems's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003818 | 0.008405 | 0.0109 | 0.0115 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.85 | 2.74 | 2.09 | 1.75 |
Story Coverage note for Verint Systems
The number of cover stories for Verint Systems depends on current market conditions and Verint Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verint Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verint Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Verint Systems Short Properties
Verint Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Verint Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verint Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verint Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verint Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 242.1 M |
Check out Verint Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Verint Stock please use our How to Invest in Verint Systems guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
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When running Verint Systems' price analysis, check to measure Verint Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verint Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Verint Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verint Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verint Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verint Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Verint Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verint Systems. If investors know Verint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verint Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.14 | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share 14.227 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 | Return On Assets 0.0188 |
The market value of Verint Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verint Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verint Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verint Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verint Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verint Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verint Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verint Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.