Canadian Overseas Petroleum Stock Volatility
| VELXF Stock | USD 0 0.01 77.01% |
Canadian Overseas is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Canadian Overseas secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed and interpolated twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 11.6% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Canadian Overseas Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0883, downside deviation of 36.26, and Mean Deviation of 18.7 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Canadian Overseas' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Canadian Overseas Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Canadian daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Canadian's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Canadian Overseas volatility.
Canadian |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Canadian Overseas can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Canadian Overseas at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Canadian stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Canadian Overseas' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Canadian Pink Sheet
| 0.5 | MCD | McDonalds Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Canadian Overseas Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Canadian Overseas' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Canadian pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Canadian pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Canadian Overseas's beta of 10.38 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Canadian Overseas pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Canadian Overseas Petroleum is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Canadian Overseas Petroleum is a penny stock. Even though Canadian Overseas may be a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative instruments that are subject to artificial stock promotions. Please make sure you fully understand upside and downside scenarios of investing in Canadian Overseas Petroleum or similar risky assets. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings,sudden promotions and many other similar artificial hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check work history of company executives before investing in high-volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Canadian instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Canadian Overseas Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Canadian Overseas correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Canadian Beta |
Canadian standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 68.75 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Canadian Overseas's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Canadian Overseas' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in canadian pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Canadian Overseas.
Canadian Overseas Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Canadian Overseas pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Canadian Overseas' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Canadian Overseas' pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Canadian Overseas' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Canadian Overseas' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Canadian Overseas' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Canadian Overseas' current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Canadian Overseas' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Canadian Overseas Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Canadian Overseas Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 10.3774 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Canadian Overseas will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Canadian Overseas or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Canadian Overseas' price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Canadian pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Canadian Overseas Petroleum has an alpha of 5.7262, implying that it can generate a 5.73 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Canadian Overseas Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Canadian Overseas Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Canadian Overseas is 592.87. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4726.79 and standard deviation of 68.75. The mean deviation of Canadian Overseas Petroleum is currently at 29.69. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 5.73 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 10.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 68.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Canadian Overseas Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Canadian Overseas historical daily return volatility represents how much of Canadian Overseas pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 68.7517% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Canadian Overseas Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Canadian Overseas or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Canadian Overseas may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Canadian's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Canadian Overseas and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Canadian Overseas fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Canadian Overseas Petroleum Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the identification, acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and natural gas offshore reserves in Africa. The company was formerly known as Velo Energy Inc. and changed its name to Canadian Overseas Petroleum Limited in July 2010. Canadian Overseas operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Canadian Overseas' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Canadian Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Canadian Overseas' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Canadian Overseas' volatility to invest better
Higher Canadian Overseas' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Canadian Overseas stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Canadian Overseas stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Canadian Overseas investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Canadian Overseas' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Canadian Overseas' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Canadian Overseas Investment Opportunity
Canadian Overseas Petroleum has a volatility of 68.75 and is 107.42 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Canadian Overseas Petroleum is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Canadian Overseas Petroleum to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Canadian Overseas to be traded at $0.0019 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Canadian Overseas Petroleum and NYA is 0.12 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Canadian Overseas Petroleum and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Canadian Overseas Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Canadian Overseas' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canadian Overseas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Canadian Overseas pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0883 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6396 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 18.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 12.01 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 36.26 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 795.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 52.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Canadian Overseas Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Canadian Overseas as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Canadian Overseas' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Canadian Overseas' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Canadian Overseas Petroleum.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Canadian Overseas Petroleum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Complementary Tools for Canadian Pink Sheet analysis
When running Canadian Overseas' price analysis, check to measure Canadian Overseas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian Overseas is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian Overseas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian Overseas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian Overseas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian Overseas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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