Visa Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

V -- USA Stock  

Trending

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Visa which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Visa hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Visa from the prospective of Visa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Visa over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Visa After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Visa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
182.17
December 9, 2019
179.00
Downside
182.18
After-hype Price
185.36
Upside
Visa is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Visa is based on 3 months time horizon.

Visa Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.06  0.01   0.00  7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
182.17182.180.01 
1,178  

Visa Hype Timeline

As of December 9, 2019 Visa is listed for 182.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Visa is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 182.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1177.78%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.01% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Visa is about 1292.68% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 182.17. The company reported annual revenue of 22.98 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 11.65 B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.26 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Visa Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Visa 0.09 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.73 (2.26)  4.96 
BrightView Holdings 0.26 8 per month 0.00 (0.0224)  2.38 (2.61)  29.53 
Verisk Analytics(0.64) 9 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.50 (2.32)  5.58 
58 Com(1.06) 9 per month 2.50  0.0468  4.75 (4.30)  15.17 
Convergys Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.34 (1.08)  5.08 
Emerald Expositions Events 0.27 7 per month 1.69 (0.0299)  2.51 (2.60)  10.35 
Fiverr International Ltd 0.82 7 per month 2.87  0.0271  4.69 (4.77)  13.52 
R R Donnelley Sons Company(0.03) 9 per month 4.00  0.14  10.04 (6.68)  39.17 
Synnex Corporation 2.05 8 per month 0.50  0.20  3.12 (1.78)  19.85 
Total System Services(2.58) 6 per month 0.00 (0.31)  0.00 (0.41)  3.09 
Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine historical correlation between any two equity instruments.
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