United Parcel Valuation Overview

UPS -- USA Stock  

USD 116.49  0.32  0.28%

United Parcel Service has current Real Value of $113.667 per share. The regular price of the company is $116.49. At this time the company appears to be fairly valued. Macroaxis measures value of United Parcel Service from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 14.11%, Shares Outstanding of 693.39M and Return On Equity of 285.95% as well as reviewing its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend to buy undervalued stocks and to dispose of overvalued stocks since at some point securities prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.

From the recent numbers report, UPS has U.S. domestic deliveries per day rise 5.7%, driven by ecommerce. Deferred air shipments also rose 10% and next day air increased 5.9%. Total revenue was reported at $14.9 billion, up 4.9% over the same quarter last year. These are all solid numbers from the report, but it is important to note this is for the short term. You’ll want to read over the cash flow statement and balance sheets to get a better understanding of longer-term projections.

Switching gears to the chart, let us take a look at price and see if it is reacting in a normal manner. Price was stuck in a range bound trading area for a short while, but has since broken the top of that range and continued to the up side. If you have belief that price is going to increase, now might be a good time to enter as price just broke top side. If your notion is that this is a false breakout, I would recommend waiting for a greater pullback and price the stock using statistics and ratios.

Valuation Drivers Correlation
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United Parcel Service Valuation Data Drivers
Net Income Per Employee    Enterprise Value    Free Cash Flow    
United Parcel Market Cap
United Parcel Service is rated below average in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Integrated Shipping & Logistics industry is at this time estimated at about 697.03 Billion. United Parcel retains roughly 101.53 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 15% of equities under Integrated Shipping & Logistics industry.
Capitalization  Total debt  Revenue  Workforce  Valuation
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
United Parcel Service is rated below average in five year return category among related companies. It is rated below average in beta category among related companies totaling about  0.40  of Beta per Five Year Return. The ratio of Five Year Return to Beta for United Parcel Service is roughly  2.48 

Current Market Valuation

United Parcel Service Valuation Boundaries

Fairly Valued
October 23, 2018
116.49
Market Value
Downside
110.67
113.67
Real Value
Target Odds
  
116.67
Upside
United Parcel is not too risky asset. Calculation of real value of United Parcel Service is based on 1 month time horizon. Increasing United Parcel Service time horizon generally increases accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves predictive power of the methodology used.

Valuation Basics

United Parcel Enterprise Value Fundamentals

Quick Ratio1.12
Earnings Quarterly Growth7.30%
Revenue Growth9.60%
Payout Ratio58.49%
Enterprise Value To Ebitda12.05
Earnings Growth8.20%
Enterprise Value To Revenue1.70

Valuation Indicators

United Parcel Valuation Fundamental Ratios

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