Correlation Between ULT and Numeraire
Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ULT and Numeraire at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ULT and Numeraire into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ULT and Numeraire, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ULT and Numeraire and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ULT with a short position of Numeraire. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ULT and Numeraire.
Diversification Opportunities for ULT and Numeraire
Excellent diversification
The 3 months correlation between ULT and Numeraire is -0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ULT and Numeraire in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Numeraire and ULT is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ULT are associated (or correlated) with Numeraire. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Numeraire has no effect on the direction of ULT i.e., ULT and Numeraire go up and down completely randomly.
Pair Corralation between ULT and Numeraire
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ULT is expected to under-perform the Numeraire. But the crypto coin apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ULT is 2.28 times less risky than Numeraire. The crypto coin trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Numeraire is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest 2,280 in Numeraire on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 212.00 from holding Numeraire or generate 9.3% return on investment over 90 days.
| Time Period | 3 Months [change] |
| Direction | Moves Against |
| Strength | Weak |
| Accuracy | 71.4% |
| Values | Daily Returns |
ULT vs. Numeraire
Performance |
| Timeline |
| ULT |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0 of 100
Weak | Strong |
Very Weak
| Numeraire |
ULT and Numeraire Volatility Contrast
Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
Pair Trading with ULT and Numeraire
The main advantage of trading using opposite ULT and Numeraire positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ULT position performs unexpectedly, Numeraire can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Numeraire will offset losses from the drop in Numeraire's long position.The idea behind ULT and Numeraire pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.Check out your portfolio center.Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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