Sp Global Stock Price Prediction

SPGI Stock  USD 425.45  2.64  0.62%   
As of 29th of March 2024, the RSI of SP Global's share price is approaching 41. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SP Global, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
SP Global stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SP Global shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SP Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SP Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SP Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SP Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SP Global's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.367
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.53
EPS Estimate Current Year
14.01
EPS Estimate Next Year
15.96
Wall Street Target Price
490.65
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SP Global based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SPGI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SP Global over a specific investment horizon. Using SP Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SP Global from the perspective of SP Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SP Global using SP Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SPGI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SP Global's stock price.

SP Global Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in SP Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SPGI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SP Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long SP Global may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SP Global and may potentially protect profits, hedge SP Global with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
405.6805
Short Percent
0.0076
Short Ratio
1.69
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
433.7374

SP Global Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SP Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SPGI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SPGI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SP Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SP Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SP Global.

SP Global Implied Volatility

    
  17.44  
SP Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SP Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SP Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SP Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when SP Global's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SP Global. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SP Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SPGI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SP Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 425.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SPGI contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SP Global will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.09% per day over the life of the 2024-04-05 option contract. With SP Global trading at USD 425.45, that is roughly USD 4.64 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SP Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SP Global options at the current volatility level of 17.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out SP Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SPGI Stock please use our How to Invest in SP Global guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SP Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
382.91432.04433.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
410.94412.02413.10
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
403.86443.80492.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.383.513.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SP Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SP Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SP Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SP Global.

SP Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SP Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SP Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SP Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SP Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SP Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SP Global's historical news coverage. SP Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 424.37 and 426.53, respectively. We have considered SP Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
425.45
424.37
Downside
425.45
After-hype Price
426.53
Upside
SP Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SP Global is based on 3 months time horizon.

SP Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SP Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SP Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SP Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.08
  0.04 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
425.45
425.45
0.00 
90.00  
Notes

SP Global Hype Timeline

SP Global is at this time traded for 425.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. SPGI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 90.0%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on SP Global is about 753.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 425.45. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SP Global was at this time reported as 108.88. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. SP Global recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of February 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of May 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out SP Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SPGI Stock please use our How to Invest in SP Global guide.

SP Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SP Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SP Global's future price movements. Getting to know how SP Global rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SP Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SP Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SPGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SP Global Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SP Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SP Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SP Global based on analysis of SP Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SP Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SP Global's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0065380.0096470.0081780.007769
Price To Sales Ratio13.79.4911.2211.78

Story Coverage note for SP Global

The number of cover stories for SP Global depends on current market conditions and SP Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SP Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SP Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SP Global Short Properties

SP Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when SP Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SP Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SP Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SP Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding318.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
When determining whether SP Global offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SP Global's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sp Global Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sp Global Stock:
Check out SP Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SPGI Stock please use our How to Invest in SP Global guide.
Note that the SP Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SP Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for SPGI Stock analysis

When running SP Global's price analysis, check to measure SP Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SP Global is operating at the current time. Most of SP Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SP Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SP Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SP Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Is SP Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SP Global. If investors know SPGI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SP Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.367
Dividend Share
3.6
Earnings Share
8.24
Revenue Per Share
39.249
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.073
The market value of SP Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPGI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SP Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SP Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SP Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SP Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SP Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SP Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SP Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.