Rex American Resources Stock Price Prediction
| REX Stock | USD 56.33 0.82 1.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
76
Oversold | Overbought |
REX American Resources stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of REX American shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of REX American's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of REX American and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from REX American's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with REX American Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting REX American's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.494 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.99 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.68 | Wall Street Target Price 59.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.68 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of REX American based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The REX stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on REX American over a specific investment horizon. Using REX American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of REX American Resources from the perspective of REX American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in REX American. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in REX American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying REX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
REX American after-hype prediction price | USD 57.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
REX |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of REX American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
REX American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of REX American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in REX American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of REX American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
REX American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting REX American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on REX American's historical news coverage. REX American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.50 and 61.80, respectively. We have considered REX American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
REX American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of REX American Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
REX American Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as REX American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading REX American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with REX American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 4.66 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.33 | 57.15 | 0.00 |
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REX American Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 REX American Resources is traded for 56.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. REX is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on REX American is about 1054.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.11. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. REX American Resources has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.53. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:1 split on the 8th of August 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out REX American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.REX American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to REX American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict REX American's future price movements. Getting to know how REX American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how REX American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IOSP | Innospec | 1.32 | 13 per month | 1.21 | (0) | 1.76 | (2.01) | 7.22 | |
| FUL | H B Fuller | (0.56) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.74 | (2.17) | 6.20 | |
| KWR | Quaker Chemical | (1.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.10 | (1.88) | 6.68 | |
| MTX | Minerals Technologies | 2.16 | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.04 | 2.51 | (2.10) | 6.49 | |
| NTIC | Northern Technologies | 0.07 | 8 per month | 2.39 | 0.10 | 6.44 | (4.16) | 15.38 | |
| OEC | Orion Engineered Carbons | (0.16) | 10 per month | 1.94 | (0.02) | 3.10 | (2.78) | 8.26 | |
| ODC | Oil Dri | 2.42 | 9 per month | 1.89 | 0.02 | 3.23 | (3.47) | 12.13 | |
| NEU | NewMarket | (9.01) | 10 per month | 1.06 | (0) | 1.85 | (1.84) | 8.46 | |
| HWKN | Hawkins | 0.48 | 10 per month | 1.94 | 0.07 | 3.27 | (2.85) | 9.51 | |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide | (0.08) | 12 per month | 2.18 | 0.11 | 4.95 | (3.47) | 20.12 |
REX American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine REX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for REX using various technical indicators. When you analyze REX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About REX American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of REX American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as REX American Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of REX American based on analysis of REX American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to REX American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to REX American's related companies. | 2021 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 15.31 | 7.12 | PTB Ratio | 1.34 | 1.22 |
Story Coverage note for REX American
The number of cover stories for REX American depends on current market conditions and REX American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that REX American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about REX American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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REX American Short Properties
REX American's future price predictability will typically decrease when REX American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of REX American Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential REX American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. REX American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 380.8 M |
Check out REX American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the REX American Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other REX American's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Complementary Tools for REX Stock analysis
When running REX American's price analysis, check to measure REX American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REX American is operating at the current time. Most of REX American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REX American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REX American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REX American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is REX American's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of REX American. If investors know REX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about REX American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.494 | Earnings Share 3.47 | Revenue Per Share 47.671 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0692 |
The market value of REX American Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of REX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of REX American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is REX American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because REX American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect REX American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between REX American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if REX American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, REX American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.