Royal Caribbean Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Royal Caribbean hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd from the prospective of Royal Caribbean response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Royal Caribbean over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Royal Caribbean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Royal Caribbean After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Royal Caribbean Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
132.62
January 18, 2020
129.78
Downside
133.38
After-hype Price
136.98
Upside
Royal Caribbean is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Royal Caribbean Cruises is based on 3 months time horizon.

Royal Caribbean Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.31  1.20  0.76   0.13  7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
132.62133.380.57 
48.98  

Royal Caribbean Hype Timeline

On the 18th of January 2020 Royal Caribbean Cruises is traded for 132.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.76 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 133.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 48.98%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.57% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Royal Caribbean is about 287.08% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 132.75. The company reported last year revenue of 10.77 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.92 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.23 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally take a look at Royal Caribbean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Royal Caribbean Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Wynn Resorts Limited 1.08 8 per month 1.32  0.14  3.41 (2.34)  13.23 
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd 2.45 7 per month 0.90  0.15  2.16 (1.39)  5.99 
Wyndham Worldwide Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Spirit Airlines(0.42) 9 per month 1.30  0.07  2.99 (2.20)  7.73 
SkyWest 0.24 7 per month 0.61  0.08  2.25 (1.51)  5.50 
Tuniu Corporation(0.15) 9 per month 0.00 (0.19)  3.63 (5.39)  14.09 
TripAdvisor(0.34) 9 per month 0.00 (0.019)  2.65 (2.71)  52.20 
Travelport Worldwide Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Ctrip International Ltd 0.00 0 per month 2.00  0.0078  3.74 (3.43)  12.99 
Agilent Technologies 1.32 9 per month 0.35  0.15  1.61 (1.05)  3.56 

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Latest Prospective on Royal Caribbean

Additionally take a look at Royal Caribbean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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