Qualcomm Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| QCOM Stock | USD 161.44 2.88 1.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Qualcomm Incorporated stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Qualcomm Incorporated shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Qualcomm Incorporated's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Qualcomm Incorporated and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Qualcomm Incorporated's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Qualcomm Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Qualcomm Incorporated's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.22 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.2 | Wall Street Target Price 158.77 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Qualcomm Incorporated based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Qualcomm stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Qualcomm Incorporated over a specific investment horizon. Using Qualcomm Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qualcomm Incorporated from the perspective of Qualcomm Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Qualcomm Incorporated using Qualcomm Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Qualcomm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Qualcomm Incorporated's stock price.
Qualcomm Incorporated Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Qualcomm Incorporated's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Qualcomm. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Qualcomm Incorporated stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Qualcomm Incorporated may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Qualcomm Incorporated and may potentially protect profits, hedge Qualcomm Incorporated with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 133.8282 | Short Percent 0.0174 | Short Ratio 2.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.2 M | 50 Day MA 163.8346 |
Qualcomm Incorporated Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Qualcomm Incorporated's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Qualcomm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Qualcomm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Qualcomm Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Qualcomm Incorporated's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Qualcomm Incorporated.
Qualcomm Incorporated Implied Volatility | 58.22 |
Qualcomm Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Qualcomm Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Qualcomm Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Qualcomm Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Qualcomm Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Qualcomm Incorporated. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Qualcomm Incorporated to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Qualcomm because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Qualcomm Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 161.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Qualcomm contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Qualcomm Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.64% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Qualcomm Incorporated trading at USD 161.44, that is roughly USD 5.87 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Qualcomm Incorporated's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Qualcomm Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 58.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Qualcomm |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qualcomm Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Qualcomm Incorporated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Qualcomm Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Qualcomm Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Qualcomm Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Qualcomm Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Qualcomm Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Qualcomm Incorporated's historical news coverage. Qualcomm Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 159.58 and 163.30, respectively. We have considered Qualcomm Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Qualcomm Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Qualcomm Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Qualcomm Incorporated Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Qualcomm Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qualcomm Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qualcomm Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.86 | 0.17 | 0.97 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
161.44 | 161.44 | 0.00 |
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Qualcomm Incorporated Hype Timeline
Qualcomm Incorporated is at this time traded for 161.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.97. Qualcomm is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 119.23%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Qualcomm Incorporated is about 21.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 162.41. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.83. Qualcomm Incorporated recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of August 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Qualcomm Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Qualcomm Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Qualcomm Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Qualcomm Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Qualcomm Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Qualcomm Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRVL | Marvell Technology Group | 0.01 | 10 per month | 3.09 | (0.01) | 5.94 | (3.28) | 19.66 | |
| MU | Micron Technology | (2.73) | 9 per month | 2.02 | 0.13 | 5.43 | (3.78) | 18.59 | |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | 2.95 | 8 per month | 2.96 | (0.02) | 5.86 | (4.70) | 18.96 | |
| INTC | Intel | (0.64) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.13 | (5.16) | 14.95 | |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 0.98 | 8 per month | 1.69 | 0.14 | 4.89 | (2.67) | 14.81 | |
| AVGO | Broadcom | 49.78 | 8 per month | 2.03 | 0.06 | 5.64 | (3.35) | 14.57 | |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 11.42 | 9 per month | 1.84 | 0.19 | 4.79 | (3.44) | 21.95 |
Qualcomm Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Qualcomm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qualcomm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qualcomm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Qualcomm Incorporated Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Qualcomm Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Qualcomm Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Qualcomm Incorporated based on analysis of Qualcomm Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Qualcomm Incorporated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Qualcomm Incorporated's related companies. | 2011 | 2017 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0427 | 0.0281 | 0.0326 | 0.0343 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.42 | 3.44 | 4.67 | 6.86 |
Story Coverage note for Qualcomm Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Qualcomm Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Qualcomm Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Qualcomm Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Qualcomm Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Qualcomm Incorporated Short Properties
Qualcomm Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Qualcomm Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Qualcomm Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Qualcomm Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qualcomm Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.3 B |
Check out Qualcomm Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Qualcomm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Qualcomm Incorporated guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Qualcomm Stock analysis
When running Qualcomm Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Qualcomm Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qualcomm Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Qualcomm Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qualcomm Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qualcomm Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qualcomm Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Qualcomm Incorporated's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qualcomm Incorporated. If investors know Qualcomm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Qualcomm Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Dividend Share 3.15 | Earnings Share 7.02 | Revenue Per Share 32.534 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
The market value of Qualcomm Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Qualcomm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Qualcomm Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Qualcomm Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Qualcomm Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Qualcomm Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Qualcomm Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qualcomm Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qualcomm Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.