Ppl Corporation Stock Price Prediction
| PPL Stock | USD 26.63 0.11 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
PPL Corporation stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of PPL shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of PPL's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PPL and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PPL's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PPL Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PPL's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.82 | Wall Street Target Price 29.42 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of PPL based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The PPL stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on PPL over a specific investment horizon. Using PPL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PPL Corporation from the perspective of PPL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PPL using PPL's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PPL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PPL's stock price.
PPL Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PPL's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PPL. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PPL stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long PPL may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PPL and may potentially protect profits, hedge PPL with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.006 | Short Percent 0.0262 | Short Ratio 3.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.2 M | 50 Day MA 26.7078 |
PPL Corporation Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PPL's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PPL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PPL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PPL Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PPL's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PPL.
PPL Implied Volatility | 27.14 |
PPL's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PPL Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PPL's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PPL stock will not fluctuate a lot when PPL's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in PPL. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PPL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PPL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PPL after-hype prediction price | USD 26.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PPL contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PPL Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.7% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With PPL trading at USD 26.63, that is roughly USD 0.45 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PPL's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PPL Corporation options at the current volatility level of 27.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
PPL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PPL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PPL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PPL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PPL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PPL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PPL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PPL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PPL's historical news coverage. PPL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.59 and 27.67, respectively. We have considered PPL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PPL is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PPL Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
PPL Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PPL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PPL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PPL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.63 | 26.63 | 0.00 |
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PPL Hype Timeline
On the 16th of April 2024 PPL Corporation is traded for 26.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PPL is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on PPL is about 912.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.63. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PPL Corporation has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. The firm had 10000:9314 split on the 2nd of June 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out PPL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PPL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PPL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PPL's future price movements. Getting to know how PPL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PPL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EBR-B | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.98 | (3.73) | 10.06 | |
| CEPU | Central Puerto SA | (0.16) | 9 per month | 2.53 | 0.03 | 5.81 | (3.94) | 16.60 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.47) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.55 | (1.91) | 4.99 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.65 | (3.88) | 10.82 | |
| ETI-P | Entergy Texas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | (0.07) | 1.40 | (1.15) | 5.10 |
PPL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PPL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PPL using various technical indicators. When you analyze PPL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PPL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PPL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PPL Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PPL based on analysis of PPL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PPL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PPL's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0558 | 0.0366 | 0.0352 | 0.0542 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.97 | 2.72 | 2.4 | 1.35 |
Story Coverage note for PPL
The number of cover stories for PPL depends on current market conditions and PPL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PPL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PPL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PPL Short Properties
PPL's future price predictability will typically decrease when PPL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PPL Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PPL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PPL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 738.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 382 M |
Check out PPL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for PPL Stock analysis
When running PPL's price analysis, check to measure PPL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PPL is operating at the current time. Most of PPL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PPL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PPL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PPL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is PPL's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PPL. If investors know PPL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PPL listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 1 | Revenue Per Share 11.278 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
The market value of PPL Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PPL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PPL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PPL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PPL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PPL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PPL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PPL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PPL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.