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NIO Stock Price Prediction

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#0D8ECF;color: white;font-size:3em;padding-top: 40px;;'>NIO</div>
NIO -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: May 26, 2020  

NIO Book Value per Share is quite stable at the moment as compared to the last year. The company current value of Book Value per Share is estimated at about 25.54. Debt to Equity Ratio is projected to rize to 314.10 this year, although the value of Current Ratio will most likelly fall to 1.49. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NIO, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Additionally, see NIO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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The NIO stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on NIO over a specific investment horizon. Using NIO hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NIO from the perspective of NIO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

NIO After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

NIO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
2.78
April 1, 2020
2.79
After-hype Price
24.33
Upside
NIO is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NIO is based on 3 months time horizon.

NIO Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20  7.12  0.01   0.07  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.782.790.36 
11,867  

NIO Hype Timeline

On the 1rd of April NIO is traded for 2.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. NIO is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 2.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 11866.67%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.36% where as daily expected return is now at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on NIO is about 1994.4% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.71. The company reported last year revenue of 230.37 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.43 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (255.88 M). Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally, see NIO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

NIO Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Niu Technologies 0.28 8 per month 0.00  0.038  8.72 (11.13)  33.28 
General Motors Company(1.12) 11 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.42 (11.38)  27.16 
Merck Company(0.85) 10 per month 0.00  0.0497  6.28 (3.94)  15.18 
Ford Motor Company(0.07) 11 per month 0.00 (0.12)  5.23 (9.32)  26.52 
Kandi Technologies Group(0.07) 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  7.22 (9.62)  24.33 
Blue Bird Corporation 0.74 8 per month 0.00 (0.11)  5.52 (8.62)  35.63 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V(0.25) 11 per month 0.00 (0.13)  4.52 (9.20)  33.20 
NIO 0.06 9 per month 0.00  0.0236  11.08 (11.96)  35.77 
Honda Motor Company Ltd(0.17) 6 per month 0.00  0.0171  4.16 (4.24)  13.12 
DAIMLER AG(2.12) 9 per month 0.00 (0.05)  7.11 (14.15)  39.98 
Additionally, see NIO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Premium Stories module to follow macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
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