Micron Technology Stock Volatility

MU Stock  USD 119.25  0.45  0.38%   
Micron Technology appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Micron Technology has Sharpe Ratio of 0.21, which conveys that the firm had a 0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Micron Technology's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.59% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Micron Technology's Downside Deviation of 2.2, mean deviation of 1.8, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1177 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Micron Technology's volatility include:
630 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
630 Days Economic Sensitivity
Micron Technology Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Micron daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Micron's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Micron Technology volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Micron Technology's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Micron Technology's managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Micron Technology can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Micron Technology at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Micron stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Micron Technology's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Micron Technology Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Micron Technology's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Micron stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Micron stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Micron Technology's beta of 1.52 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Micron Technology stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Micron Technology currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.15 and Jensen Alpha of 0.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Micron Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Micron Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Micron Technology Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Micron Technology correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Micron Beta

    
  1.52  
Micron standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.85  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Micron Technology's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Micron Technology's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in micron stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Micron Technology.

Using Micron Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Micron Technology grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Micron Technology at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Micron Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Micron Technology's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Micron Technology will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Micron Technology's PUT expiring on 2024-03-28

   Profit   
       Micron Technology Price At Expiration  

Current Micron Technology Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $150.0-0.940.007142024-03-2829.6 - 31.1531.99View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $140.0-0.9030.012232024-03-2820.4 - 21.821.35View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $137.0-0.88930.014642024-03-2816.8 - 18.918.4View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $136.0-0.98670.0049192024-03-2815.75 - 17.817.85View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $135.0-0.84890.017352024-03-2814.7 - 16.7517.1View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $134.0-0.94660.0129102024-03-2813.9 - 15.9516.3View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $133.0-0.88540.019122024-03-2812.95 - 15.8514.3View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $132.0-0.94710.015342024-03-2811.85 - 13.9514.6View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $131.0-0.83110.022642024-03-2810.85 - 14.012.7View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $129.0-0.80170.026582024-03-288.9 - 11.0510.85View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $128.0-0.80150.0293202024-03-288.0 - 9.99.75View
View All Micron Technology Options

Micron Technology Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Micron Technology stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Micron Technology's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Micron Technology's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Micron Technology's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Micron Technology's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Micron Technology's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Micron Technology's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Micron Technology's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Micron Technology Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Micron Technology Projected Return Density Against Market

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5222 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Micron Technology will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Micron Technology or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Micron Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Micron stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Micron Technology has an alpha of 0.3445, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Micron Technology's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how micron stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Micron Technology Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Micron Technology Stock Risk Measures

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Micron Technology is 484.28. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.12 and standard deviation of 2.85. The mean deviation of Micron Technology is currently at 1.88. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.52
σ
Overall volatility
2.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Micron Technology Stock Return Volatility

Micron Technology historical daily return volatility represents how much of Micron Technology stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.8503% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5731% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Micron Technology Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Micron Technology or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Micron Technology may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Micron's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Micron Technology and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Micron Technology fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Micron Technology, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products worldwide. Micron Technology, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho. Micron Technology operates under Semiconductors classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 48000 people.
Micron Technology's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Micron Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Micron Technology's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Micron Technology's volatility to invest better

Higher Micron Technology's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Micron Technology stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Micron Technology stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Micron Technology investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Micron Technology's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Micron Technology's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Micron Technology Investment Opportunity

Micron Technology has a volatility of 2.85 and is 5.0 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 25 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Micron Technology. You can use Micron Technology to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Micron Technology to be traded at $125.21 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Micron Technology and NYA is 0.31 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Micron Technology and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Micron Technology Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Micron Technology's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Micron Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Micron Technology stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Micron Technology Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Micron Technology as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Micron Technology's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Micron Technology's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Micron Technology.
When determining whether Micron Technology is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Micron Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Micron Technology Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Micron Technology Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Micron Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
For more information on how to buy Micron Stock please use our How to Invest in Micron Technology guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Micron Stock analysis

When running Micron Technology's price analysis, check to measure Micron Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Micron Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Micron Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Micron Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Micron Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Micron Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Micron Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Micron Technology. If investors know Micron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Micron Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Dividend Share
0.46
Earnings Share
(3.45)
Revenue Per Share
16.67
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.577
The market value of Micron Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Micron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Micron Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Micron Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Micron Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Micron Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Micron Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Micron Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Micron Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.