Metropolitan Bank Holding Stock Price Prediction

MCB Stock  USD 38.50  0.45  1.18%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Metropolitan Bank's share price is approaching 32. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Metropolitan Bank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

32

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Metropolitan Bank Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Metropolitan Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Metropolitan Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Metropolitan Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Metropolitan Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Metropolitan Bank Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Metropolitan Bank's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.49
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.1
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.16
Wall Street Target Price
51.67
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Metropolitan Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Metropolitan stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Metropolitan Bank over a specific investment horizon. Using Metropolitan Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Metropolitan Bank Holding from the perspective of Metropolitan Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Metropolitan Bank using Metropolitan Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Metropolitan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Metropolitan Bank's stock price.

Metropolitan Bank Implied Volatility

    
  71.63  
Metropolitan Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Metropolitan Bank Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Metropolitan Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Metropolitan Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Metropolitan Bank's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Metropolitan Bank. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Metropolitan Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Metropolitan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Metropolitan Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Metropolitan contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Metropolitan Bank Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.48% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Metropolitan Bank trading at USD 38.5, that is roughly USD 1.72 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Metropolitan Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Metropolitan Bank Holding options at the current volatility level of 71.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Metropolitan Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metropolitan Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.2444.1147.41
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
48.5353.3359.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.201.341.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Metropolitan Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Metropolitan Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Metropolitan Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Metropolitan Bank Holding.

Metropolitan Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Metropolitan Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Metropolitan Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Metropolitan Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Metropolitan Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Metropolitan Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Metropolitan Bank's historical news coverage. Metropolitan Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.26 and 39.86, respectively. We have considered Metropolitan Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.50
36.56
After-hype Price
39.86
Upside
Metropolitan Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Metropolitan Bank Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Metropolitan Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Metropolitan Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Metropolitan Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Metropolitan Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53 
3.28
  1.41 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.50
36.56
3.92 
123.31  
Notes

Metropolitan Bank Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Metropolitan Bank Holding is traded for 38.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Metropolitan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 123.31%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -3.92%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Metropolitan Bank is about 7809.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.52. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Metropolitan Bank Holding recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.91. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Metropolitan Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Metropolitan Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Metropolitan Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Metropolitan Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Metropolitan Bank rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Metropolitan Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Metropolitan Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Metropolitan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Metropolitan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Metropolitan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Metropolitan Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Metropolitan Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Metropolitan Bank Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Metropolitan Bank based on analysis of Metropolitan Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Metropolitan Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Metropolitan Bank's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio7.937.53
Short Term Coverage Ratios0.0780.0741

Story Coverage note for Metropolitan Bank

The number of cover stories for Metropolitan Bank depends on current market conditions and Metropolitan Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Metropolitan Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Metropolitan Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Metropolitan Bank Short Properties

Metropolitan Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Metropolitan Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Metropolitan Bank Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Metropolitan Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metropolitan Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-32 M
When determining whether Metropolitan Bank Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Metropolitan Bank's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Metropolitan Bank Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Metropolitan Bank Holding Stock:
Check out Metropolitan Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Metropolitan Bank Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Metropolitan Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Metropolitan Stock analysis

When running Metropolitan Bank's price analysis, check to measure Metropolitan Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metropolitan Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Metropolitan Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metropolitan Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metropolitan Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metropolitan Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Metropolitan Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Metropolitan Bank. If investors know Metropolitan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Metropolitan Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Earnings Share
6.91
Revenue Per Share
21.56
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
0.0116
The market value of Metropolitan Bank Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Metropolitan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Metropolitan Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Metropolitan Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Metropolitan Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Metropolitan Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Metropolitan Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Metropolitan Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Metropolitan Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.