Manchester United Stock Price Prediction
| MANU Stock | USD 14.79 0.27 1.86% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Manchester United stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Manchester United shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Manchester United's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Manchester United and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Manchester United's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Manchester United, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Manchester United's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.231 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.05 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.66) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.37) | Wall Street Target Price 18.89 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Manchester United based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Manchester stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Manchester United over a specific investment horizon. Using Manchester United hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manchester United from the perspective of Manchester United response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Manchester United using Manchester United's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Manchester using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Manchester United's stock price.
Manchester United Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Manchester United's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Manchester. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Manchester United stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Manchester United may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Manchester United and may potentially protect profits, hedge Manchester United with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 19.1972 | Short Percent 0.0577 | Short Ratio 1.96 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 15.7444 |
Manchester United Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Manchester United's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Manchester. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Manchester can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Manchester United. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Manchester United's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Manchester United.
Manchester United Implied Volatility | 62.06 |
Manchester United's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Manchester United stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Manchester United's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Manchester United stock will not fluctuate a lot when Manchester United's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Manchester United. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Manchester United to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Manchester because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Manchester United after-hype prediction price | USD 14.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Manchester contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Manchester United will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.88% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Manchester United trading at USD 14.79, that is roughly USD 0.57 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Manchester United's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Manchester United options at the current volatility level of 62.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Manchester |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manchester United's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Manchester United After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Manchester United at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Manchester United or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Manchester United, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Manchester United Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Manchester United's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Manchester United's historical news coverage. Manchester United's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.78 and 17.80, respectively. We have considered Manchester United's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Manchester United is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Manchester United is based on 3 months time horizon.
Manchester United Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Manchester United is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Manchester United backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Manchester United, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 3.01 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.79 | 14.79 | 0.00 |
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Manchester United Hype Timeline
Manchester United is now traded for 14.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Manchester is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Manchester United is about 2006.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.86. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 819.62. Manchester United recorded a loss per share of 0.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Manchester United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Manchester United Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Manchester United's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Manchester United's future price movements. Getting to know how Manchester United's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Manchester United may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROKU | Roku Inc | 0.60 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.57 | (4.98) | 30.34 | |
| PARA | Paramount Global Class | (0.77) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.68 | (5.87) | 23.47 | |
| WBD | Warner Bros Discovery | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.89 | (4.22) | 14.33 | |
| PARAA | Paramount Global Class | 0.85 | 10 per month | 2.96 | 0.06 | 4.94 | (5.52) | 29.79 |
Manchester United Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Manchester price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manchester using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manchester charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Manchester United Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Manchester United stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Manchester United, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Manchester United based on analysis of Manchester United hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Manchester United's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Manchester United's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0224 | 0.0202 | 0.0212 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.57 | 5.59 | 4.55 |
Story Coverage note for Manchester United
The number of cover stories for Manchester United depends on current market conditions and Manchester United's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Manchester United is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Manchester United's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Manchester United Short Properties
Manchester United's future price predictability will typically decrease when Manchester United's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Manchester United often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Manchester United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manchester United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 163.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76 M |
Check out Manchester United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Manchester Stock please use our How to Invest in Manchester United guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Manchester Stock analysis
When running Manchester United's price analysis, check to measure Manchester United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manchester United is operating at the current time. Most of Manchester United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manchester United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manchester United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manchester United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Manchester United's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Manchester United. If investors know Manchester will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Manchester United listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.231 | Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 4.416 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.349 | Return On Assets 0.0003 |
The market value of Manchester United is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Manchester that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Manchester United's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Manchester United's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Manchester United's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Manchester United's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Manchester United's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Manchester United is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Manchester United's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.