Liquidity Services Stock Price Prediction
| LQDT Stock | USD 17.32 0.01 0.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Liquidity Services stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Liquidity Services shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Liquidity Services' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Liquidity Services and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Liquidity Services' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Liquidity Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Liquidity Services' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.98 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.24 | Wall Street Target Price 27.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Liquidity Services based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Liquidity stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Liquidity Services over a specific investment horizon. Using Liquidity Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liquidity Services from the perspective of Liquidity Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Liquidity Services using Liquidity Services' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Liquidity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Liquidity Services' stock price.
Liquidity Services Implied Volatility | 54.27 |
Liquidity Services' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Liquidity Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Liquidity Services' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Liquidity Services stock will not fluctuate a lot when Liquidity Services' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Liquidity Services. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Liquidity Services to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Liquidity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Liquidity Services after-hype prediction price | USD 17.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Liquidity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Liquidity Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.39% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Liquidity Services trading at USD 17.32, that is roughly USD 0.59 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Liquidity Services' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Liquidity Services options at the current volatility level of 54.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Liquidity |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liquidity Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Liquidity Services After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Liquidity Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liquidity Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Liquidity Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Liquidity Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Liquidity Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liquidity Services' historical news coverage. Liquidity Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.37 and 19.29, respectively. We have considered Liquidity Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Liquidity Services is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liquidity Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Liquidity Services Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Liquidity Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liquidity Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liquidity Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.32 | 17.33 | 0.00 |
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Liquidity Services Hype Timeline
Liquidity Services is now traded for 17.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Liquidity is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Liquidity Services is about 670.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.32. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Liquidity Services was now reported as 5.39. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.73. Liquidity Services had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Liquidity Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Liquidity Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Liquidity Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liquidity Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Liquidity Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liquidity Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SE | Sea | (0.61) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.27 | 6.11 | (3.56) | 10.55 | |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | (0.45) | 13 per month | 2.26 | 0.02 | 5.62 | (3.48) | 19.96 | |
| AMZN | Amazon Inc | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.11 | 0.08 | 2.71 | (2.15) | 10.43 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.16) | 13 per month | 2.58 | 0.09 | 5.80 | (4.43) | 22.08 |
Liquidity Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Liquidity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liquidity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liquidity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Liquidity Services Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Liquidity Services stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Liquidity Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Liquidity Services based on analysis of Liquidity Services hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Liquidity Services's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Liquidity Services's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 9.06E-4 | 0.001042 | 9.9E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.87 | 2.0 | 2.04 |
Story Coverage note for Liquidity Services
The number of cover stories for Liquidity Services depends on current market conditions and Liquidity Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liquidity Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liquidity Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Liquidity Services Short Properties
Liquidity Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Liquidity Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Liquidity Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Liquidity Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liquidity Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.2 M |
Check out Liquidity Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Liquidity Stock please use our How to Invest in Liquidity Services guide.Note that the Liquidity Services information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Liquidity Services' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Liquidity Stock analysis
When running Liquidity Services' price analysis, check to measure Liquidity Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liquidity Services is operating at the current time. Most of Liquidity Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liquidity Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liquidity Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liquidity Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Liquidity Services' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liquidity Services. If investors know Liquidity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liquidity Services listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share 0.59 | Revenue Per Share 10.188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0539 |
The market value of Liquidity Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liquidity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liquidity Services' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liquidity Services' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liquidity Services' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liquidity Services' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liquidity Services' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liquidity Services is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liquidity Services' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.