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Spark Networks Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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LOV -- USA Stock  

USD 6.35  0.15  2.31%

Spark Networks Debt to Equity Ratio is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the last year. Spark Networks reported Debt to Equity Ratio of 2.57 in 2019. EBITDA Margin is likely to grow to 0.035983 in 2020, whereas Current Ratio is likely to drop 0.40 in 2020. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Spark Networks which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Spark Networks hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Spark Networks from the prospective of Spark Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Spark Networks over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Spark Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Spark Networks After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Spark Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
6.35
February 16, 2020
6.39
After-hype Price
16.44
Upside
Spark Networks is unstable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spark Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.

Spark Networks Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.35  3.35  0.04   0.21  6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.356.390.63 
2,792  

Spark Networks Hype Timeline

On the 16th of February 2020 Spark Networks is traded for 6.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Spark Networks is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 6.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2791.67%. The price escalation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.63% where as daily expected return is now at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Spark Networks is about 557.4% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.56. The company reported last year revenue of 112.46 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.06 M. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally see Spark Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Spark Networks Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Facebook 1.79 8 per month 1.57  0.0437  2.07 (2.72)  8.63 
IQIYI 0.02 11 per month 1.93  0.18  4.12 (3.24)  17.34 
Jianpu Technology 0.12 6 per month 0.00 (0.18)  7.76 (8.41)  31.32 
Douyu International Holdings Ltd Ads 0.42 3 per month 5.25  0.07  6.07 (9.28)  27.88 
EverQuote 1.94 9 per month 5.84  0.05  9.30 (9.59)  31.89 
Phoenix New Media Limited(0.02) 4 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.09 (4.03)  48.55 
IACInterActiveCorp 1.61 11 per month 1.48  0.029  2.48 (2.42)  13.87 
Spark Networks 0.12 6 per month 2.73  0.0434  5.78 (5.90)  13.62 
Gaia 0.1 6 per month 1.81 (0.0141)  4.01 (3.30)  10.29 
Groupon(0.09) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0326)  4.32 (4.60)  12.80 

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Latest Prospective on Spark Networks

Additionally see Spark Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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