Kerry Group Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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KRYAF -- USA Stock  

USD 132.45  3.50  2.71%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kerry Group Cl A Ord which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Kerry Group hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Kerry Group Cl A Ord from the prospective of Kerry Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kerry Group over a specific investment horizon. Please also see Kerry Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Kerry Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Kerry Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
132.45
January 26, 2020
125.34
Downside
132.45
After-hype Price
139.56
Upside
Kerry Group is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kerry Group Cl is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kerry Group Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18  2.37  0.00   0.01  6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
132.45132.450.00 
0.00  

Kerry Group Hype Timeline

Kerry Group Cl is now traded for132.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Kerry Group Cl A Ord is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Kerry Group is about 6236.84%%. The volatility of related hype on Kerry Group is about 6236.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 132.46. The company last dividend was issued on 2019-10-17. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please also see Kerry Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kerry Group Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Want Want China Holdings Ltd 0.00 6 per month 0.00  0.0365  0.00  0.00  12.34 
Kellogg Company(0.51) 7 per month 0.56  0.07  1.61 (1.06)  5.16 
General Mills 0.49 8 per month 0.96 (0.0297)  1.55 (1.17)  4.82 
The Kraft Heinz Company(0.32) 11 per month 1.60  0.0226  2.21 (2.21)  20.47 
J M Smucker Company New 0.42 6 per month 1.22 (0.08)  1.33 (1.88)  6.45 
Lamb Weston Holdings(0.14) 8 per month 0.41  0.11  1.95 (0.72)  14.32 
ConAgra Brands 0.12 9 per month 1.61  0.07  2.76 (2.66)  19.45 
McCormick Company Incorporat(0.20) 7 per month 0.94 (0.0121)  1.46 (1.45)  4.97 
Hormel Foods Corporation 0.50 8 per month 0.28  0.14  1.59 (0.96)  5.33 
Campbell Soup Company 0.02 8 per month 0.90 (0.08)  1.61 (1.73)  5.12 
Please also see Kerry Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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