Kraft Heinz Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

KHC -- USA Stock  

USD 31.09  0.16  0.51%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Kraft Heinz Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Kraft Heinz hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of The Kraft Heinz Company from the prospective of Kraft Heinz response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kraft Heinz over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Kraft Heinz Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Kraft Heinz After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Kraft Heinz Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
31.09
December 8, 2019
30.94
After-hype Price
37.78
Upside
Kraft Heinz is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kraft Heinz is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kraft Heinz Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18  2.28  0.15   0.08  11 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.0930.940.48 
271.43  

Kraft Heinz Hype Timeline

On the 8th of December Kraft Heinz is traded for 31.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. The Kraft Heinz Company is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 30.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 271.43%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.48% where as daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Kraft Heinz is about 490.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 31.17. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.67. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kraft Heinz recorded loss per share of 9.1. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-11-14. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days.
Please see also Kraft Heinz Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kraft Heinz Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Kellogg Company 0.32 9 per month 0.81  0.0114  1.61 (1.34)  4.14 
Lamb Weston Holdings(0.03) 10 per month 0.40  0.15  1.95 (0.80)  8.57 
DAVIDsTEA 0.06 6 per month 3.69  0.06  7.85 (5.95)  24.40 
Farmmi Inc Ordinary Shares(0.05) 3 per month 0.00 (0.22)  4.42 (9.38)  23.52 
Farmer Brothers Company 3.30 11 per month 3.79  0.07  6.38 (5.80)  36.24 
BG Foods BG Foods(0.04) 9 per month 0.00 (0.049)  3.13 (3.39)  9.53 
ConAgra Brands 0.32 10 per month 2.13 (0.0198)  2.65 (3.05)  7.99 
Campbell Soup Company 0.88 10 per month 0.87  0.0343  1.68 (1.51)  5.90 
Darling Ingredients 0.38 10 per month 0.67  0.19  2.49 (1.57)  10.36 
Freshpet(0.49) 11 per month 1.55  0.07  4.56 (2.48)  8.82 
Please see also Kraft Heinz Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
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