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JP Morgan Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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JPM -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

JP Morgan Enterprise Value over EBIT is considerably stable at the moment as compared to the last year. The stock current value of Enterprise Value over EBIT is estimated at about 13.97. Enterprise Value over EBITDA is projected to rize to 11.46 this year, although the value of Revenue to Assets will most likelly fall to 0.06. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JP Morgan Chase Co which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using JP Morgan hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of JP Morgan Chase Co from the prospective of JP Morgan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on JP Morgan over a specific investment horizon. Please also see JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

JP Morgan After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

JP Morgan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
137.46
February 16, 2020
134.27
Downside
137.27
After-hype Price
140.27
Upside
JP Morgan is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JP Morgan Chase is based on 3 months time horizon.

JP Morgan Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09  0.99  0.19   0.01  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
137.46137.270.14 
46.48  

JP Morgan Hype Timeline

On the 16th of February 2020 JP Morgan Chase is traded for 137.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. JP Morgan Chase Co is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 137.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 46.48%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on JP Morgan is about 750.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 137.45. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. JP Morgan Chase has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.35. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.13. The firm last dividend was issued on 2020-01-03. JP Morgan had 3:2 split on 2000-06-12. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Please also see JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

JP Morgan Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Comme 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17)  0.82 (0.77)  6.22 
JP Morgan Chase Co(2.13) 10 per month 0.85  0.0224  1.70 (1.70)  5.46 
Citigroup 0.22 9 per month 1.11  0.0023  1.77 (1.73)  5.89 
Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3 0.22 1 per month 0.00 (0.20)  0.92 (0.96)  2.53 
Bank Of Montreal(0.36) 10 per month 0.78 (0.09)  0.80 (0.99)  3.82 
Credit Suisse Group(0.02) 9 per month 1.16 (0.0041)  1.97 (2.14)  5.78 
East West Bancorp 0.43 11 per month 1.39  0.0027  2.66 (2.61)  11.05 
ING Group N V 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.89 (1.88)  5.90 
Barclays PLC(0.04) 9 per month 1.36 (0.0112)  1.82 (2.44)  10.52 
HSBC Holdings Plc 0.35 11 per month 1.00 (0.06)  1.33 (2.02)  4.76 
Please also see JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
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