Johnson Outdoors Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

JOUT -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: December 6, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Johnson Outdoors which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Johnson Outdoors hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Johnson Outdoors from the prospective of Johnson Outdoors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Johnson Outdoors over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Johnson Outdoors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Johnson Outdoors After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Johnson Outdoors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 17, 2019
63.98
Current Value
63.97
After-hype Price
68.50
Upside
Johnson Outdoors is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Johnson Outdoors is based on 3 months time horizon.

Johnson Outdoors Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18  1.51% 0.01   0.00  8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
63.9863.970.02 
2,157

Johnson Outdoors Hype Timeline

Johnson Outdoors is currently traded for63.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Johnson Outdoors is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 63.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2157.14%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Johnson Outdoors is about 7885.12% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 63.98. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Johnson Outdoors has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.92. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-10-10. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Please also check Johnson Outdoors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Johnson Outdoors Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Brunswick Corporation(0.19) 12 per month 1.30  0.19  4.36 (2.26)  7.84 
Drive Shack(0.02) 9 per month 0.00 (0.13)  4.36 (4.78)  16.93 
Edison Nation(0.02) 8 per month 0.00 (0.05)  7.45 (8.00)  36.90 
E-Qure Corp 0.00 7 per month 0.00  0.0002  3.45  0.00  65.41 
Escalade Incorporated 0.25 5 per month 1.56  0.0018  3.68 (2.67)  9.67 
Funko 0.19 8 per month 0.00 (0.19)  4.20 (6.77)  23.44 
Ballantyne Strong 0.37 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  5.99 (5.57)  16.39 
Dover Motorsports 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.08 (2.06)  12.16 
Callaway Golf Company 0.27 9 per month 1.73  0.06  3.85 (2.70)  9.12 
Cedar Fair LP(0.68) 8 per month 1.28 (0.0051)  2.39 (1.88)  8.09 

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Please also check Johnson Outdoors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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