Irobot Stock Price Prediction

IRBT Stock  USD 8.76  0.17  1.98%   
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of IRobot's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

18

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
IRobot stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of IRobot shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of IRobot's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IRobot and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IRobot's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with IRobot, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting IRobot's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.19)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.64)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.42)
Wall Street Target Price
12.98
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of IRobot based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The IRobot stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on IRobot over a specific investment horizon. Using IRobot hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IRobot from the perspective of IRobot response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IRobot using IRobot's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IRobot using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IRobot's stock price.

IRobot Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in IRobot's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards IRobot. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of IRobot stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long IRobot may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about IRobot and may potentially protect profits, hedge IRobot with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.9008
Short Percent
0.4751
Short Ratio
3.84
Shares Short Prior Month
9.1 M
50 Day MA
12.5766

IRobot Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to IRobot's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IRobot. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IRobot can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IRobot. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of IRobot's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about IRobot.

IRobot Implied Volatility

    
  83.33  
IRobot's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IRobot stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IRobot's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IRobot stock will not fluctuate a lot when IRobot's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in IRobot. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IRobot to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IRobot because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

IRobot after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IRobot contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IRobot will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.21% per day over the life of the 2024-04-05 option contract. With IRobot trading at USD 8.76, that is roughly USD 0.46 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IRobot's daily price movement you should consider acquiring IRobot options at the current volatility level of 83.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out IRobot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy IRobot Stock please use our How to Invest in IRobot guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IRobot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.558.4114.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.9110.7716.62
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.6542.4747.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.03-1.98-1.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IRobot. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IRobot's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IRobot's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IRobot.

IRobot After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of IRobot at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IRobot or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IRobot, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

IRobot Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting IRobot's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IRobot's historical news coverage. IRobot's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.90 and 14.62, respectively. We have considered IRobot's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.76
8.76
After-hype Price
14.62
Upside
IRobot is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IRobot is based on 3 months time horizon.

IRobot Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IRobot is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IRobot backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IRobot, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.18 
5.86
  0.59 
  0.40 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.76
8.76
0.00 
2,170  
Notes

IRobot Hype Timeline

IRobot is currently traded for 8.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.4. IRobot is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -2.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on IRobot is about 3167.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.36. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. IRobot has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.72. The entity recorded a loss per share of 11.01. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out IRobot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy IRobot Stock please use our How to Invest in IRobot guide.

IRobot Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to IRobot's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IRobot's future price movements. Getting to know how IRobot rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IRobot may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SNSharkNinja(1.15)9 per month 1.63  0.11  2.80 (2.81) 7.60 
MLKNMillerKnoll 0.07 11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.10 (3.17) 10.14 
VIOTViomi Technology ADR(0.02)4 per month 0.00 (0.16) 6.10 (7.50) 31.81 
VIRCVirco Manufacturing 0.36 10 per month 4.78 (0.03) 5.43 (6.58) 29.64 
EFOIEnergy Focu 0.58 8 per month 5.42  0.04  7.20 (7.80) 86.10 
NVFYNova Lifestyle I(0.46)2 per month 4.81  0.1  11.76 (8.57) 223.01 
FLXSFlexsteel Industries(1.23)12 per month 1.86  0.23  5.59 (3.89) 37.25 
ETDEthan Allen Interiors 0.00 0 per month 1.69  0.02  2.75 (2.55) 8.02 
FGIFGI Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.41 (6.79) 25.53 
HBBHamilton Beach Brands 0.00 0 per month 2.65  0.13  6.51 (5.65) 20.34 

IRobot Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IRobot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IRobot using various technical indicators. When you analyze IRobot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About IRobot Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of IRobot stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IRobot, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IRobot based on analysis of IRobot hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IRobot's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IRobot's related companies.
 2016 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Book Value Ratio4.162.752.482.6
Operating Cycle94.45145.31130.7894.52

Story Coverage note for IRobot

The number of cover stories for IRobot depends on current market conditions and IRobot's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IRobot is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IRobot's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

IRobot Short Properties

IRobot's future price predictability will typically decrease when IRobot's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IRobot often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IRobot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IRobot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments185.1 M
When determining whether IRobot is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if IRobot Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Irobot Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Irobot Stock:
Check out IRobot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy IRobot Stock please use our How to Invest in IRobot guide.
Note that the IRobot information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IRobot's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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When running IRobot's price analysis, check to measure IRobot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IRobot is operating at the current time. Most of IRobot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IRobot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IRobot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IRobot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is IRobot's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IRobot. If investors know IRobot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IRobot listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Earnings Share
(11.01)
Revenue Per Share
56.524
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
0.0076
The market value of IRobot is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IRobot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IRobot's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IRobot's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IRobot's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IRobot's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IRobot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IRobot is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IRobot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.