Great Southern Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| GSBC Stock | USD 53.66 0.03 0.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Great Southern Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Great Southern shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Great Southern's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Great Southern and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Great Southern's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Great Southern Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Great Southern's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.81 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.92 | Wall Street Target Price 55 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Great Southern based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Great stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Great Southern over a specific investment horizon. Using Great Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great Southern Bancorp from the perspective of Great Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Great Southern using Great Southern's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Great using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Great Southern's stock price.
Great Southern Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Great Southern's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Great Southern Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Great Southern's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Great Southern stock will not fluctuate a lot when Great Southern's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Great Southern. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Great Southern to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Great because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Great Southern after-hype prediction price | USD 53.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Great |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Great Southern After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Great Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Great Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Great Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Great Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Great Southern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Great Southern's historical news coverage. Great Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.91 and 55.49, respectively. We have considered Great Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Great Southern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Great Southern Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Great Southern Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Great Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.79 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.66 | 53.70 | 0.02 |
|
Great Southern Hype Timeline
Great Southern Bancorp is currently traded for 53.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Great is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 53.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Great Southern is about 1270.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.66. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 46.29 M. Net Income was 67.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 227.57 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Great Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Great Southern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Great Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how Great Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMNF | HMN Financial | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.93 | (2.07) | 10.38 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.90 | (3.41) | 15.26 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.80) | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 3.35 | (2.71) | 33.39 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.12 | (1.31) | 3.79 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.08 | 7 per month | 1.62 | (0.05) | 3.38 | (3.27) | 9.67 | |
| HTBI | HomeTrust Bancshares | 0.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.21 | (4.24) | 9.81 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.29) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.82 | (3.33) | 11.98 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.48 | (5.39) | 18.73 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.45 | (1.85) | 9.11 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.92 | (3.87) | 11.57 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | (0.60) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.99 | (2.48) | 9.53 |
Great Southern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Great price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Great Southern Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Great Southern stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Great Southern Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Great Southern based on analysis of Great Southern hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Great Southern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Great Southern's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0234 | 0.0258 | 0.0271 | 0.0205 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.71 | 3.19 | 15.38 | 16.14 |
Story Coverage note for Great Southern
The number of cover stories for Great Southern depends on current market conditions and Great Southern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Great Southern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Great Southern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Great Southern Short Properties
Great Southern's future price predictability will typically decrease when Great Southern's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Great Southern Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Great Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -102.5 M |
Check out Great Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Great Southern Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Great Southern's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Great Stock analysis
When running Great Southern's price analysis, check to measure Great Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Great Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. |
Is Great Southern's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Great Southern. If investors know Great will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Great Southern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 5.07 | Revenue Per Share 18.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) |
The market value of Great Southern Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Great that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Great Southern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Great Southern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Great Southern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Great Southern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Great Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great Southern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.