Alphabet Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

GOOG -- USA Stock  

USD 1,222  23.21  1.94%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alphabet hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alphabet from the prospective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alphabet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Alphabet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

March 20, 2019
1,222
Current Value
1,201
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
1,205
Upside
Alphabet is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet is based on 2 months time horizon.

Alphabet Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.30% 1.26% 2.59%  0.16% 4 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,2221,2010.22%
14.62% 

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet is currently traded for1,222. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.59 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Alphabet is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 1201.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 14.62%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.22% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 242.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1221.9. The company reported previous year revenue of 136.82B. Net Income was 30.74B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.27B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CA(4.30) 1 per month 0.00  0.1  36.48 (26.73)  81.99 
Workday(10.13) 7 per month 1.87  0.10  3.30 (3.37)  10.41 
Computer Sciences Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16)  0.00  0.00  85.89 
Xunlei Limited(0.18) 6 per month 4.24  0.06  10.77 (7.23)  30.56 
Teradata Corporation 0.16 10 per month 0.40  0.17  1.91 (1.41)  4.86 
Unisys Corporation(0.33) 6 per month 1.74 (0.0178)  3.25 (3.00)  18.68 
VMware 0.91 7 per month 1.03  0.23  3.20 (1.98)  7.31 
Alphabet 8.62 4 per month 0.93  0.06  2.51 (1.92)  5.37 
Sabre Corporation 0.05 7 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.81 (2.44)  7.27 
China Information Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42)  1.14 (1.13)  2.27 

Contributor Headline

Latest Prospective on Alphabet

over a month ago at Macroaxis 
By Achuva Shats
  
In this story I am going to address all ongoing Alphabet shareholders. I will look into why despite ongoing dip, the longer-term fundamental drivers of the firm are still sound. ...
 
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Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
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