Alphabet Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

GOOG -- USA Stock  

USD 1,236  0.03  0.0024%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alphabet hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alphabet from the prospective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alphabet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Alphabet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 21, 2019
1,236
Current Value
1,233
After-hype Price
1,237
Upside
Alphabet is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet is based on 2 months time horizon.

Alphabet Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.28% 1.23% 3.49%  0.03% 8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,2361,2330.28%
9.86% 

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet is currently traded for1,236. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.49 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Alphabet is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 1232.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 9.86%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 1000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1236.4. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Alphabet was currently reported as 255.38. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. Alphabet recorded earning per share (EPS) of 43.7. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 10000000:10000000 split on 2015-04-27. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CA 16.21 1 per month 0.00  0.10  36.48 (26.73)  81.99 
Workday 0.71 7 per month 2.11 (0.07)  2.59 (3.80)  7.38 
Computer Sciences Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16)  0.00  0.00  85.89 
Xunlei Limited(0.07) 6 per month 5.08  0.0279  10.77 (10.38)  30.56 
Teradata Corporation 1.11 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.39 (1.99)  8.37 
Unisys Corporation(0.17) 7 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.57 (3.66)  20.99 
VMware(3.89) 6 per month 1.26  0.19  3.55 (2.45)  7.93 
Alphabet(12.48) 8 per month 0.57  0.13  2.32 (1.51)  6.66 
Sabre Corporation(0.19) 7 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.58 (2.90)  7.05 
China Information Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.33)  1.14 (1.13)  2.27 

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