Games Workshop Group Stock Price Prediction

GMWKF Stock  USD 125.00  2.00  1.57%   
As of 28th of March 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Games Workshop's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Games Workshop, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

51

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Games Workshop Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Games Workshop shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Games Workshop's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Games Workshop and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Games Workshop's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Games Workshop Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Games Workshop based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Games stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Games Workshop over a specific investment horizon. Using Games Workshop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Games Workshop Group from the perspective of Games Workshop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Games Workshop. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Games Workshop to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Games because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Games Workshop after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 125.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Games Workshop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Games Workshop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.34105.00137.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
123.29124.95126.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
123.78125.67127.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Games Workshop. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Games Workshop's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Games Workshop's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Games Workshop Group.

Games Workshop After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Games Workshop at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Games Workshop or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Games Workshop, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Games Workshop Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Games Workshop's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Games Workshop's historical news coverage. Games Workshop's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 123.34 and 126.66, respectively. We have considered Games Workshop's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
125.00
123.34
Downside
125.00
After-hype Price
126.66
Upside
Games Workshop is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Games Workshop Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Games Workshop Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Games Workshop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Games Workshop backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Games Workshop, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.66
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
125.00
125.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Games Workshop Hype Timeline

Games Workshop Group is currently traded for 125.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Games is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Games Workshop is about 2766.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 125.00. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Games Workshop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Games Workshop Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Games Workshop's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Games Workshop's future price movements. Getting to know how Games Workshop rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Games Workshop may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Games Workshop Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Games price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Games using various technical indicators. When you analyze Games charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Games Workshop Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Games Workshop stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Games Workshop Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Games Workshop based on analysis of Games Workshop hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Games Workshop's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Games Workshop's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Games Workshop

The number of cover stories for Games Workshop depends on current market conditions and Games Workshop's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Games Workshop is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Games Workshop's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Games Workshop Short Properties

Games Workshop's future price predictability will typically decrease when Games Workshop's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Games Workshop Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Games Workshop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Games Workshop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.8 M
Check out Games Workshop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for Games Pink Sheet analysis

When running Games Workshop's price analysis, check to measure Games Workshop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Games Workshop is operating at the current time. Most of Games Workshop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Games Workshop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Games Workshop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Games Workshop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Games Workshop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Games Workshop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Games Workshop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.