GM Stock Price Prediction

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#347AFC;color: #ffffff;font-size:4em;padding-top: 25px;;'>GM</div>
GM -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: 30th of June 2020  

General Motors stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of GM shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of GM stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with General Motors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Please check GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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The GM stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on GM over a specific investment horizon. Using GM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Motors from the perspective of GM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. GM Accounts Payable Turnover is considerably stable at the moment as compared to the last year. The company current value of Accounts Payable Turnover is estimated at about 7.04. Accrued Expenses Turnover is projected to rize to 7.46 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 10.88.
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.851.442.30
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
19.5425.8432.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
24.2130.5136.81
Details
Analysts
Consensus (11)
LowTarget PriceHigh
22.0036.3653.00
Details

GM After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

GM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
25.88
31st of May 2020
25.84
After-hype Price
32.14
Upside
GM is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Motors is based on 3 months time horizon.

GM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  6.25  0.03   0.23  37 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 37 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.8825.840.15 
1,894  

GM Hype Timeline

As of May 31, 2020 General Motors is listed for 25.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. General Motors is suggested to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 25.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1893.94%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.15% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on GM is about 274.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 26.11. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. General Motors last dividend was issued on 2020-03-05. The entity had 2:1 split on March 29, 1989. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 37 days.
Please check GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GM Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Amazon Com 21.82 7 per month 2.99  0.12  5.28 (5.29)  13.17 
Fiat Chrysler(0.24) 11 per month 0.00 (0.07)  8.05 (9.20)  33.20 
Ford Motor 0.54 37 per month 0.00 (0.0384)  7.60 (9.09)  32.34 
Blue Bird(0.33) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0182)  9.58 (10.70)  35.63 
DAIMLER AG 1.11 8 per month 8.69  0.0294  11.55 (14.33)  40.67 
General Motors(0.33) 37 per month 0.00 (0.0207)  8.95 (11.38)  27.26 
NIO Inc(0.14) 6 per month 6.63  0.0315  13.22 (11.08)  26.59 
Honda Motor(0.09) 9 per month 3.47  0.0136  7.71 (6.14)  15.61 
Niu Technologies 0.44 8 per month 6.92  0.08  11.76 (12.18)  33.29 
Kandi Technologies Group(0.04) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0016)  9.17 (11.07)  58.56 

Additional Predictive Modules

About GM Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Motors, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of GM hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to GM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GM's related companies.
Please check GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.
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