Gilead Sciences Stock Volatility

GILD Stock  USD 73.55  0.54  0.74%   
Gilead Sciences holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0788, which attests that the entity had a -0.0788% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gilead Sciences exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gilead Sciences' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.83), standard deviation of 1.7, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Gilead Sciences' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Gilead Sciences Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Gilead daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Gilead's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Gilead Sciences volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Gilead Sciences' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Gilead Sciences' managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Gilead Sciences can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Gilead Sciences at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Gilead stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Gilead Sciences' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Gilead Sciences Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Gilead Sciences' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Gilead stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Gilead stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Gilead Sciences's beta of 0.0531 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Gilead Sciences stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Gilead Sciences exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.38 and kurtosis of 18.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gilead Sciences' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gilead Sciences' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Gilead Sciences Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Gilead Sciences correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Gilead Beta

    
  0.0531  
Gilead standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.75  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Gilead Sciences's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Gilead Sciences' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in gilead stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Gilead Sciences.

Using Gilead Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Gilead Sciences grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Gilead Sciences at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Gilead Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Gilead Sciences' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Gilead Sciences will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Gilead Sciences' PUT expiring on 2024-03-28

   Profit   
       Gilead Sciences Price At Expiration  

Current Gilead Sciences Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $79.0-0.9130.038232024-03-285.8 - 6.155.45View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $77.0-0.91250.056392024-03-283.85 - 4.12.7View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $76.0-0.84990.08442024-03-282.73 - 4.03.2View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $75.0-0.97120.0641292024-03-281.74 - 2.262.5View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $74.0-0.70990.19711742024-03-280.89 - 1.581.3View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $73.0-0.49110.58732802024-03-280.21 - 0.320.47View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $72.0-0.10310.22163162024-03-280.02 - 0.040.04View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $71.0-0.04140.0753652024-03-280.0 - 0.030.02View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $70.0-0.03080.0429062024-03-280.0 - 0.30.02View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $68.0-0.02080.01951002024-03-280.0 - 1.040.02View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $67.0-0.01060.0102382024-03-280.0 - 1.030.01View
View All Gilead Sciences Options

Gilead Sciences Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Gilead Sciences stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Gilead Sciences' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Gilead Sciences' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Gilead Sciences' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Gilead Sciences' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Gilead Sciences' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Gilead Sciences' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Gilead Sciences' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Gilead Sciences Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Gilead Sciences Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gilead Sciences has a beta of 0.0531 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gilead Sciences average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gilead Sciences will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gilead Sciences or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gilead Sciences' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gilead stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Gilead Sciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Gilead Sciences' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how gilead stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Gilead Sciences Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Gilead Sciences Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Gilead Sciences is -1269.58. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.07 and standard deviation of 1.75. The mean deviation of Gilead Sciences is currently at 1.05. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Gilead Sciences Stock Return Volatility

Gilead Sciences historical daily return volatility represents how much of Gilead Sciences stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 1.7514% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5731% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Gilead Sciences Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Gilead Sciences or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Gilead Sciences may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Gilead's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Gilead Sciences and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Gilead Sciences fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Selling And Marketing Expenses700.2 M618.4 M
Gilead Sciences' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Gilead Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Gilead Sciences' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Gilead Sciences' volatility to invest better

Higher Gilead Sciences' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Gilead Sciences stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Gilead Sciences stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Gilead Sciences investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Gilead Sciences' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Gilead Sciences' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Gilead Sciences Investment Opportunity

Gilead Sciences has a volatility of 1.75 and is 3.07 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Gilead Sciences is lower than 15 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Gilead Sciences to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Gilead Sciences to be traded at $80.91 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Gilead Sciences and NYA is 0.02 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gilead Sciences and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Gilead Sciences Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gilead Sciences' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gilead Sciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Gilead Sciences stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Gilead Sciences Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Gilead Sciences as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Gilead Sciences' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Gilead Sciences' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Gilead Sciences.
When determining whether Gilead Sciences is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gilead Sciences' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gilead Sciences' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gilead Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Gilead Sciences. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For information on how to trade Gilead Stock refer to our How to Trade Gilead Stock guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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Is Gilead Sciences' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gilead Sciences. If investors know Gilead will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gilead Sciences listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
3
Earnings Share
4.5
Revenue Per Share
21.728
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Gilead Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gilead that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gilead Sciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gilead Sciences' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gilead Sciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gilead Sciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gilead Sciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gilead Sciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gilead Sciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.