Five Star Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
FSBC Stock | USD 21.95 0.02 0.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Five Star Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Five Star shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Five Star's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Five Star and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Five Star's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Five Star Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Five Star's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.56 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.47 | Wall Street Target Price 28.33 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Five Star based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Five stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Five Star over a specific investment horizon. Using Five Star hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Five Star Bancorp from the perspective of Five Star response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Five Star. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Five Star to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Five because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Five Star after-hype prediction price | USD 21.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Five |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Five Star's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Five Star After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Five Star at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Five Star or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Five Star, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Five Star Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Five Star's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Five Star's historical news coverage. Five Star's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.83 and 24.07, respectively. We have considered Five Star's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Five Star is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Five Star Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Five Star Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Five Star is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Five Star backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Five Star, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.12 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.95 | 21.95 | 0.00 |
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Five Star Hype Timeline
Five Star Bancorp is currently traded for 21.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Five is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Five Star is about 1766.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.93. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Five Star Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2024. The entity had 2521:2500 split on the 14th of July 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Five Star Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Five Star Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Five Star's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Five Star's future price movements. Getting to know how Five Star's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Five Star may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Five Star Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Five price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Five using various technical indicators. When you analyze Five charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Five Star Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Five Star stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Five Star Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Five Star based on analysis of Five Star hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Five Star's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Five Star's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.12 | 0.0328 | 0.0288 | 0.0274 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.36 | 4.28 | 59.84 | 62.83 |
Story Coverage note for Five Star
The number of cover stories for Five Star depends on current market conditions and Five Star's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Five Star is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Five Star's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Five Star Short Properties
Five Star's future price predictability will typically decrease when Five Star's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Five Star Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Five Star's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Star's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.5 M |
Check out Five Star Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Five Star Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Five Star's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Five Stock analysis
When running Five Star's price analysis, check to measure Five Star's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Star is operating at the current time. Most of Five Star's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Star's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Star's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Star to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Five Star's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Star. If investors know Five will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Star listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share 2.78 | Revenue Per Share 6.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.014 |
The market value of Five Star Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Star's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Star's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Star's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Star's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.