FIRST REP BK Price Prediction
| FRCDelisted Stock | USD 0.33 0.07 17.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
21
Oversold | Overbought |
FIRST REP BK stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FIRST REP shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FIRST REP's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FIRST REP and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FIRST REP's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FIRST REP BK, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether delisted stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FIRST REP based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FIRST stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FIRST REP over a specific investment horizon. Using FIRST REP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FIRST REP BK from the perspective of FIRST REP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FIRST REP. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FIRST REP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FIRST because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FIRST REP after-hype prediction price | USD 0.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FIRST |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FIRST REP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FIRST REP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FIRST REP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FIRST REP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FIRST REP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FIRST REP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FIRST REP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FIRST REP's historical news coverage. FIRST REP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.33 and 0.33, respectively. We have considered FIRST REP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FIRST REP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FIRST REP BK is based on 3 months time horizon.
FIRST REP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FIRST REP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FIRST REP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FIRST REP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.33 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
|
FIRST REP Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April FIRST REP BK is traded for 0.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FIRST is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on FIRST REP is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.33. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FIRST REP BK has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.25. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of January 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.FIRST REP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FIRST REP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FIRST REP's future price movements. Getting to know how FIRST REP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FIRST REP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PACW | PacWest Bancorp | 0.30 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.89 | (4.55) | 13.55 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.08 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.87 | (4.61) | 10.37 | |
| KEY | KeyCorp | 0.24 | 11 per month | 1.87 | 0.01 | 3.36 | (3.42) | 10.05 | |
| CMA | Comerica | 0.92 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.56 | (3.33) | 9.93 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | (0.32) | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.04 | 3.58 | (2.79) | 9.99 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | 2.36 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.47 | (5.76) | 13.07 | |
| FRCB | First Republic Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.01 | 0.16 | 66.67 | (26.67) | 204.23 | |
| SICP | Silvergate Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.42 | 0.10 | 18.01 | (27.20) | 2,138 | |
| SIVBQ | SVB Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SBNYL | Signature Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.63 | 0.37 | 66.67 | (11.11) | 138.21 | |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corp | (0.81) | 9 per month | 1.58 | (0.03) | 2.63 | (2.92) | 8.07 |
FIRST REP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FIRST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FIRST using various technical indicators. When you analyze FIRST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FIRST REP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FIRST REP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FIRST REP BK, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FIRST REP based on analysis of FIRST REP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FIRST REP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FIRST REP's related companies. Story Coverage note for FIRST REP
The number of cover stories for FIRST REP depends on current market conditions and FIRST REP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FIRST REP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FIRST REP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
FIRST REP Short Properties
FIRST REP's future price predictability will typically decrease when FIRST REP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FIRST REP BK often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FIRST REP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FIRST REP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in FIRST Stock
If you are still planning to invest in FIRST REP BK check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the FIRST REP's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum |