F5 Networks Stock Price Prediction

FFIV Stock  USD 189.59  0.75  0.40%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of F5 Networks' share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling F5 Networks, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
F5 Networks stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of F5 Networks shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of F5 Networks' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of F5 Networks and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from F5 Networks' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with F5 Networks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting F5 Networks' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.933
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.95
EPS Estimate Current Year
12.6
EPS Estimate Next Year
13.87
Wall Street Target Price
191.78
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of F5 Networks based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FFIV stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on F5 Networks over a specific investment horizon. Using F5 Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of F5 Networks from the perspective of F5 Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards F5 Networks using F5 Networks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FFIV using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of F5 Networks' stock price.

F5 Networks Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in F5 Networks' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FFIV. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of F5 Networks stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long F5 Networks may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about F5 Networks and may potentially protect profits, hedge F5 Networks with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
166.5013
Short Percent
0.0354
Short Ratio
4.03
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
186.6088

F5 Networks Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to F5 Networks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FFIV. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FFIV can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around F5 Networks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of F5 Networks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about F5 Networks.

F5 Networks Implied Volatility

    
  26.19  
F5 Networks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of F5 Networks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if F5 Networks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that F5 Networks stock will not fluctuate a lot when F5 Networks' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in F5 Networks. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in F5 Networks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FFIV because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

F5 Networks after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 189.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FFIV contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that F5 Networks will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.64% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With F5 Networks trading at USD 189.59, that is roughly USD 3.1 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating F5 Networks' daily price movement you should consider acquiring F5 Networks options at the current volatility level of 26.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out F5 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy FFIV Stock please use our How to Invest in F5 Networks guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of F5 Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
158.21159.26208.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
182.40183.45184.50
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
153.56168.75187.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.822.862.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as F5 Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against F5 Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, F5 Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in F5 Networks.

F5 Networks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of F5 Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in F5 Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of F5 Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

F5 Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting F5 Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on F5 Networks' historical news coverage. F5 Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 188.54 and 190.64, respectively. We have considered F5 Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
189.59
188.54
Downside
189.59
After-hype Price
190.64
Upside
F5 Networks is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of F5 Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.

F5 Networks Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as F5 Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading F5 Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with F5 Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.04
  0.07 
  0.01 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
189.59
189.59
0.00 
196.23  
Notes

F5 Networks Hype Timeline

F5 Networks is currently traded for 189.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. FFIV is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 196.23%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on F5 Networks is about 1925.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 189.60. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of F5 Networks was currently reported as 48.66. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.75. F5 Networks recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.68. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of August 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out F5 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy FFIV Stock please use our How to Invest in F5 Networks guide.

F5 Networks Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to F5 Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict F5 Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how F5 Networks rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how F5 Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SSentinelOne 0.39 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.84 (5.83) 23.63 
BBBlackBerry 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.96 (6.79) 22.42 
GBGlobal Blue Group(0.39)7 per month 2.29  0.02  5.62 (3.85) 15.83 
JGAurora Mobile 0.14 9 per month 6.35  0.1  11.19 (9.45) 50.48 
MQMarqeta(0.1)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.26 (5.74) 18.35 
NNNextnav Acquisition Corp(1.20)9 per month 5.19  0.10  10.67 (8.86) 59.64 
SQBlock Inc(0.42)10 per month 3.29  0.02  4.91 (5.48) 21.53 
ZSZscaler 1.80 11 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.13 (4.36) 18.41 
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings 0.46 11 per month 2.93 (0.01) 4.36 (4.17) 15.48 
VERIVeritone(0.15)10 per month 6.49  0.17  25.81 (11.08) 53.21 

F5 Networks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FFIV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FFIV using various technical indicators. When you analyze FFIV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About F5 Networks Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of F5 Networks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as F5 Networks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of F5 Networks based on analysis of F5 Networks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to F5 Networks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to F5 Networks's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0062110.0071430.006866
Price To Sales Ratio3.243.957.04

Story Coverage note for F5 Networks

The number of cover stories for F5 Networks depends on current market conditions and F5 Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that F5 Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about F5 Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

F5 Networks Short Properties

F5 Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when F5 Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of F5 Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential F5 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F5 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments803.3 M
When determining whether F5 Networks is a strong investment it is important to analyze F5 Networks' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact F5 Networks' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FFIV Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out F5 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy FFIV Stock please use our How to Invest in F5 Networks guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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Is F5 Networks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of F5 Networks. If investors know FFIV will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about F5 Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.933
Earnings Share
7.68
Revenue Per Share
47.019
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0732
The market value of F5 Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FFIV that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of F5 Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is F5 Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because F5 Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect F5 Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between F5 Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if F5 Networks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, F5 Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.