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Phoenix Stock Price Prediction

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FENG -- USA Stock  

USD 1.85  0.03  1.65%

Phoenix New Book Value per Share is expected to significantly increase based on the last few years of reporting. The last year's Book Value per Share was at 48.76. The current year Debt to Equity Ratio is expected to grow to 2.20, whereas Earnings per Basic Share are expected to decline to (1.09) . We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Phoenix New Media Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Phoenix New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phoenix New Media Limited from the perspective of Phoenix New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The Phoenix stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Phoenix New over a specific investment horizon. Please check Phoenix New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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Phoenix New After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Phoenix New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
1.85
February 27, 2020
1.83
After-hype Price
17.55
Upside
Phoenix New is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phoenix New Media is based on 3 months time horizon.

Phoenix New Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.67  5.24  0.01   0.07  4 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.851.830.55 
26,200  

Phoenix New Hype Timeline

Phoenix New Media is currently traded for1.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Phoenix New Media Limited is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 1.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 26200.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.55% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Phoenix New is about 5087.38% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.92. The company reported previous year revenue of 218.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 780.83 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Please check Phoenix New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Phoenix New Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Facebook 1.58 11 per month 0.00  0.0064  2.07 (2.76)  8.63 
IQIYI(0.01) 11 per month 1.80  0.20  4.12 (2.53)  17.34 
Jianpu Technology 0.04 5 per month 0.00 (0.11)  7.76 (6.98)  31.32 
Douyu International Holdings Ltd Ads 0.08 3 per month 5.39  0.06  5.42 (9.40)  29.79 
EverQuote 2.07 9 per month 7.32  0.0262  9.30 (11.55)  31.89 
Phoenix New Media Limited 0.02 4 per month 0.00 (0.15)  3.38 (4.64)  42.11 
IACInterActiveCorp(3.25) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0043)  2.48 (2.90)  13.87 
Spark Networks 0.1 9 per month 2.98  0.0445  5.78 (5.90)  21.31 
Gaia 0.37 6 per month 2.18  0.06  5.08 (3.41)  10.48 
Groupon 0.03 10 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.48 (5.45)  57.23 
Please check Phoenix New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
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