Franklin Covey Stock Price Prediction
| FC Stock | USD 37.98 0.22 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Franklin Covey stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Franklin Covey shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Franklin Covey's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Franklin Covey and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Franklin Covey's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Covey, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Franklin Covey's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.71 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.14 | Wall Street Target Price 63.33 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.05 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Franklin Covey based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Franklin stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Franklin Covey over a specific investment horizon. Using Franklin Covey hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Covey from the perspective of Franklin Covey response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin Covey using Franklin Covey's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin Covey's stock price.
Franklin Covey Implied Volatility | 242.76 |
Franklin Covey's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin Covey stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin Covey's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin Covey stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin Covey's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Franklin Covey. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin Covey to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Franklin Covey after-hype prediction price | USD 37.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Franklin |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Covey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Franklin Covey After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin Covey at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Covey or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin Covey, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin Covey Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin Covey's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Covey's historical news coverage. Franklin Covey's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.66 and 40.02, respectively. We have considered Franklin Covey's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin Covey is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Covey is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin Covey Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin Covey is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Covey backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Covey, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.18 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.98 | 37.84 | 0.37 |
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Franklin Covey Hype Timeline
As of April 19, 2024 Franklin Covey is listed for 37.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Franklin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 37.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Covey is about 524.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.04. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.32. Franklin Covey had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Franklin Covey Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Franklin Covey Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Covey's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Covey's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Covey's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Covey may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRAI | CRA International | 1.36 | 12 per month | 1.04 | 0.18 | 2.80 | (1.69) | 15.07 | |
| THR | Thermon Group Holdings | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (2.57) | 22.89 | |
| FORR | Forrester Research | (0.53) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.12 | (5.03) | 14.18 | |
| FOR | Forestar Group | 0.68 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.96 | (5.48) | 14.60 | |
| ALG | Alamo Group | 0.24 | 9 per month | 2.40 | (0.02) | 2.26 | (3.45) | 9.47 |
Franklin Covey Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Franklin Covey Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Franklin Covey stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin Covey, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin Covey based on analysis of Franklin Covey hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin Covey's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin Covey's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0116 | 0.011 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.39 | 1.49 |
Story Coverage note for Franklin Covey
The number of cover stories for Franklin Covey depends on current market conditions and Franklin Covey's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Covey is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Covey's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Franklin Covey Short Properties
Franklin Covey's future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin Covey's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin Covey often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin Covey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Covey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.2 M |
Check out Franklin Covey Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Franklin Stock refer to our How to Trade Franklin Stock guide.Note that the Franklin Covey information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Franklin Covey's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Franklin Stock analysis
When running Franklin Covey's price analysis, check to measure Franklin Covey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin Covey is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin Covey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin Covey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin Covey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin Covey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Franklin Covey's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Covey. If investors know Franklin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Franklin Covey listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share 1.22 | Revenue Per Share 20.952 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0744 |
The market value of Franklin Covey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Covey's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Covey's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Covey's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Covey's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Covey's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Covey is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Covey's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.