Farmer Bros Co Stock Price Prediction

FARM Stock  USD 3.57  0.07  2.00%   
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Farmer Bros' share price is approaching 45. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Farmer Bros, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Farmer Bros stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Farmer Bros shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Farmer Bros' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Farmer Bros and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Farmer Bros' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Farmer Bros Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Farmer Bros' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.25)
Wall Street Target Price
6
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.21)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Farmer Bros based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Farmer stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Farmer Bros over a specific investment horizon. Using Farmer Bros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmer Bros Co from the perspective of Farmer Bros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Farmer Bros using Farmer Bros' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Farmer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Farmer Bros' stock price.

Farmer Bros Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Farmer Bros' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Farmer Bros Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Farmer Bros' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Farmer Bros stock will not fluctuate a lot when Farmer Bros' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Farmer Bros. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmer Bros to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Farmer Bros after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Farmer Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Farmer Bros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.897.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.618.40
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.16-0.16-0.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmer Bros. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmer Bros' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmer Bros' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmer Bros.

Farmer Bros After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Farmer Bros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmer Bros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Farmer Bros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Farmer Bros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Farmer Bros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmer Bros' historical news coverage. Farmer Bros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 8.35, respectively. We have considered Farmer Bros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.57
3.57
After-hype Price
8.35
Upside
Farmer Bros is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmer Bros is based on 3 months time horizon.

Farmer Bros Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmer Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmer Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmer Bros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
4.82
  0.09 
  0.04 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.57
3.57
0.00 
2,008  
Notes

Farmer Bros Hype Timeline

Farmer Bros is currently traded for 3.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Farmer is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmer Bros is about 4252.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.53. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmer Bros has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.14. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2011. Farmer Bros had 10:1 split on the 11th of May 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Farmer Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Farmer Bros Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Farmer Bros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmer Bros' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmer Bros rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmer Bros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Farmer Bros Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Farmer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Farmer Bros Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Farmer Bros stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmer Bros Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmer Bros based on analysis of Farmer Bros hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmer Bros's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmer Bros's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Operating Cycle147.5168.94
Dividend Yield0.02740.0288

Story Coverage note for Farmer Bros

The number of cover stories for Farmer Bros depends on current market conditions and Farmer Bros' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmer Bros is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmer Bros' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Farmer Bros Short Properties

Farmer Bros' future price predictability will typically decrease when Farmer Bros' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Farmer Bros Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Farmer Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmer Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.2 M
When determining whether Farmer Bros is a strong investment it is important to analyze Farmer Bros' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Farmer Bros' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Farmer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Farmer Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Farmer Bros' price analysis, check to measure Farmer Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmer Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Farmer Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmer Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmer Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmer Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farmer Bros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. If investors know Farmer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmer Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.14)
Revenue Per Share
16.889
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.35)
The market value of Farmer Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmer Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmer Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmer Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmer Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmer Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.